Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 2. September?
25°C 63%
26°C 18%
24°C 17%
23°C 3%
$11,006 Vol.
$11,006 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
63%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 63%
26°C 18%
24°C 17%
23°C 3%
$11,006 Vol.
$11,006 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
63%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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