Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–25 °C after a cold front (frente fria) swept through the region on August 20–21. The front replaced a preceding hot spell (highs reaching 30–33 °C) with cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that limit daytime radiative heating. Official and model guidance (Climatempo, Yr, WeatherBug, Met Office) consistently project afternoon peaks of 23–25 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with minimal precipitation risk. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration on 24 °C (39 %), 23 °C (25 %), and 25 °C (21.5 %), reflecting the narrow range expected once the frontal influence stabilizes. Historical August maxima average near 23–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus and limited forecast spread against residual uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and exact wind speeds, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the observed guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 23. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 23. August?
24°C 39%
23°C 25%
25°C 22%
22°C 7%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C
39%
25°C
22%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
23°C 25%
25°C 22%
22°C 7%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$58 Vol.
1%
21°C
$78 Vol.
3%
22°C
$57 Vol.
7%
23°C
$158 Vol.
25%
24°C
$127 Vol.
39%
25°C
$382 Vol.
22%
26°C
$122 Vol.
7%
27°C
$36 Vol.
2%
28°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$451 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–25 °C after a cold front (frente fria) swept through the region on August 20–21. The front replaced a preceding hot spell (highs reaching 30–33 °C) with cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that limit daytime radiative heating. Official and model guidance (Climatempo, Yr, WeatherBug, Met Office) consistently project afternoon peaks of 23–25 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with minimal precipitation risk.
This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration on 24 °C (39 %), 23 °C (25 %), and 25 °C (21.5 %), reflecting the narrow range expected once the frontal influence stabilizes. Historical August maxima average near 23–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus and limited forecast spread against residual uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and exact wind speeds, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the observed guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Volumen
$1,633Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–25 °C after a cold front (frente fria) swept through the region on August 20–21. The front replaced a preceding hot spell (highs reaching 30–33 °C) with cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that limit daytime radiative heating. Official and model guidance (Climatempo, Yr, WeatherBug, Met Office) consistently project afternoon peaks of 23–25 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with minimal precipitation risk.
This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration on 24 °C (39 %), 23 °C (25 %), and 25 °C (21.5 %), reflecting the narrow range expected once the frontal influence stabilizes. Historical August maxima average near 23–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus and limited forecast spread against residual uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and exact wind speeds, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the observed guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,633Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for São Paulo on August 23, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 23–25 °C after a cold front (frente fria) swept through the region on August 20–21. The front replaced a preceding hot spell (highs reaching 30–33 °C) with cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and southeasterly winds that limit daytime radiative heating. Official and model guidance (Climatempo, Yr, WeatherBug, Met Office) consistently project afternoon peaks of 23–25 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with minimal precipitation risk. This pattern aligns with the market’s concentration on 24 °C (39 %), 23 °C (25 %), and 25 °C (21.5 %), reflecting the narrow range expected once the frontal influence stabilizes. Historical August maxima average near 23–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest cool anomaly rather than an extreme. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus and limited forecast spread against residual uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and exact wind speeds, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the observed guidance.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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