Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WindBorne indicate Sao Paulo overnight lows on August 23 near 11–14°C, driving the market's tightly clustered probabilities around those thresholds and the elevated 36.5% on 18°C+. Typical late-winter radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, modulated by light southeasterly winds and a lingering cool air mass, supports this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August averages near 13–15°C, with resolution hinging on official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 23. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 23. August?
8°C or below 67%
18°C or higher 67%
12°C 56%
13°C 32%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
67%
9°C
22%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
34%
13°C
32%
14°C
28%
15°C
23%
16°C
4%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
67%
8°C or below 67%
18°C or higher 67%
12°C 56%
13°C 32%
NEU
NEU
23. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
$15 Vol.
67%
9°C
$0 Vol.
22%
10°C
$0 Vol.
25%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$16 Vol.
34%
13°C
$0 Vol.
32%
14°C
$0 Vol.
28%
15°C
$0 Vol.
23%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$5 Vol.
7%
18°C or higher
$40 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WindBorne indicate Sao Paulo overnight lows on August 23 near 11–14°C, driving the market's tightly clustered probabilities around those thresholds and the elevated 36.5% on 18°C+. Typical late-winter radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, modulated by light southeasterly winds and a lingering cool air mass, supports this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August averages near 13–15°C, with resolution hinging on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$77Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WindBorne indicate Sao Paulo overnight lows on August 23 near 11–14°C, driving the market's tightly clustered probabilities around those thresholds and the elevated 36.5% on 18°C+. Typical late-winter radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, modulated by light southeasterly winds and a lingering cool air mass, supports this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August averages near 13–15°C, with resolution hinging on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$77Enddatum
23. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the Met Office and WindBorne indicate Sao Paulo overnight lows on August 23 near 11–14°C, driving the market's tightly clustered probabilities around those thresholds and the elevated 36.5% on 18°C+. Typical late-winter radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, modulated by light southeasterly winds and a lingering cool air mass, supports this range, though minor shifts in cloud cover or frontal timing could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical August averages near 13–15°C, with resolution hinging on official station observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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