Recent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 17. Mai?
$62,222 Vol.
$62,222 Vol.
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
$62,222 Vol.
$62,222 Vol.
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRRecent meteorological data from Brazilian monitoring agencies show atmospheric conditions over Sao Paulo on May 17 produced a daily maximum temperature near the 22°C mark, anchoring the dominant market-implied probability at 56.6% for that outcome. Late-autumn patterns in the region typically feature cooler southerly flow and reduced insolation, limiting peaks to the low-20s Celsius range absent strong high-pressure warming. With the 23°C-or-higher resolution priced at only 0.3%, traders have priced in stable pressure gradients and consistent model guidance showing no significant heat advection. Official station readings will soon finalize the exact peak for market settlement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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