Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 18 near 26–27°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta features mean highs of 24–27°C under the strengthening subtropical ridge, with peak temperatures governed by diurnal heating, boundary-layer moisture, and variable southeasterly flow that can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Minor model disagreements on cloud cover and wind timing create the narrow probability spread across 25–28°C, while official China Meteorological Administration guidance issued in the last 24 hours reinforces this central range ahead of final verification at the Pudong station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 18. Mai?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 18. Mai?
27°C 32%
26°C 25%
28°C 23%
25°C 15%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
15%
26°C
25%
27°C
32%
28°C
23%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 25%
28°C 23%
25°C 15%
NEU
NEU
18. Mai 2026
21°C or below
$849 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$101 Vol.
1%
23°C
$164 Vol.
4%
24°C
$236 Vol.
8%
25°C
$296 Vol.
15%
26°C
$251 Vol.
25%
27°C
$100 Vol.
32%
28°C
$72 Vol.
23%
29°C
$23 Vol.
8%
30°C
$38 Vol.
2%
31°C or higher
$56 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 18 near 26–27°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta features mean highs of 24–27°C under the strengthening subtropical ridge, with peak temperatures governed by diurnal heating, boundary-layer moisture, and variable southeasterly flow that can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Minor model disagreements on cloud cover and wind timing create the narrow probability spread across 25–28°C, while official China Meteorological Administration guidance issued in the last 24 hours reinforces this central range ahead of final verification at the Pudong station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$2,155Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 18 near 26–27°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta features mean highs of 24–27°C under the strengthening subtropical ridge, with peak temperatures governed by diurnal heating, boundary-layer moisture, and variable southeasterly flow that can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Minor model disagreements on cloud cover and wind timing create the narrow probability spread across 25–28°C, while official China Meteorological Administration guidance issued in the last 24 hours reinforces this central range ahead of final verification at the Pudong station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,155Enddatum
18. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models place Shanghai’s expected daily maximum on May 18 near 26–27°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology in the Yangtze River Delta features mean highs of 24–27°C under the strengthening subtropical ridge, with peak temperatures governed by diurnal heating, boundary-layer moisture, and variable southeasterly flow that can either enhance or suppress afternoon warming by 1–2°C. Minor model disagreements on cloud cover and wind timing create the narrow probability spread across 25–28°C, while official China Meteorological Administration guidance issued in the last 24 hours reinforces this central range ahead of final verification at the Pudong station.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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