Current numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS, ECMWF, and Met Office guidance shows Tel Aviv highs of 31–34°C on August 21 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align with typical late-August Mediterranean patterns, where climatological daily maxima average near 31–32°C. Trader emphasis on 33°C (70%) and 34°C (22.5%) reflects model consensus around the upper end of that range, with minimal implied probability for 32°C or below given the absence of cooling factors such as stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover in recent runs. Updated forecasts issued in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, supporting the current market distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 21. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 21. August?
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
70%
34°C
23%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
34°C 23%
32°C 9%
35°C 2%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$262 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$209 Vol.
1%
32°C
$371 Vol.
9%
33°C
$555 Vol.
70%
34°C
$430 Vol.
23%
35°C
$136 Vol.
2%
36°C
$142 Vol.
1%
37°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$214 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS, ECMWF, and Met Office guidance shows Tel Aviv highs of 31–34°C on August 21 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align with typical late-August Mediterranean patterns, where climatological daily maxima average near 31–32°C. Trader emphasis on 33°C (70%) and 34°C (22.5%) reflects model consensus around the upper end of that range, with minimal implied probability for 32°C or below given the absence of cooling factors such as stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover in recent runs. Updated forecasts issued in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, supporting the current market distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,215Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS, ECMWF, and Met Office guidance shows Tel Aviv highs of 31–34°C on August 21 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align with typical late-August Mediterranean patterns, where climatological daily maxima average near 31–32°C. Trader emphasis on 33°C (70%) and 34°C (22.5%) reflects model consensus around the upper end of that range, with minimal implied probability for 32°C or below given the absence of cooling factors such as stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover in recent runs. Updated forecasts issued in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, supporting the current market distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,215Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction consensus from models including GFS, ECMWF, and Met Office guidance shows Tel Aviv highs of 31–34°C on August 21 under stable subtropical high pressure, clear skies, light northwesterly flow, and negligible precipitation. These conditions align with typical late-August Mediterranean patterns, where climatological daily maxima average near 31–32°C. Trader emphasis on 33°C (70%) and 34°C (22.5%) reflects model consensus around the upper end of that range, with minimal implied probability for 32°C or below given the absence of cooling factors such as stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover in recent runs. Updated forecasts issued in the past 48 hours have shown little shift, supporting the current market distribution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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