Global seismic records from the USGS indicate that magnitude 6.5 or greater earthquakes occur at an average rate of roughly one per week worldwide, forming the main driver behind the market’s strong consensus for exactly one event during the May 11–17 window. No major aftershock sequences, subduction-zone unrest, or clustered activity has been observed in high-frequency regions such as the Pacific Ring of Fire in the past several days, keeping probabilities for two or more events low. Seismicity has remained at typical background levels with no notable shifts in monitoring data or model indications of elevated risk. Final USGS compilations through the resolution date will confirm the precise count and any late adjustments.