U.S. Geological Survey data indicates no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now a 25-day lull as of May 15 that slightly exceeds the historical average interval of 18-24 days, given 15-20 such events occur annually along global tectonic boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Ongoing moderate seismicity persists in subduction zones and transform faults, but no foreshock swarms, strain anomalies, or heightened activity signal an imminent large quake, as short-term prediction remains impossible per USGS consensus. Traders should monitor the USGS real-time earthquake map and catalog for rapid detections, with final magnitudes confirmed via seismic waveform analysis within days; key updates could emerge before the May 30 cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEin weiteres Erdbeben von 7,0 oder mehr bis...?
Ein weiteres Erdbeben von 7,0 oder mehr bis...?
$25,095 Vol.
31. Mai 2026
15. Mai
7%
30. Mai
44%
$25,095 Vol.
15. Mai
$3,535 Vol.
7%
30. Mai
$8,313 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.U.S. Geological Survey data indicates no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now a 25-day lull as of May 15 that slightly exceeds the historical average interval of 18-24 days, given 15-20 such events occur annually along global tectonic boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Ongoing moderate seismicity persists in subduction zones and transform faults, but no foreshock swarms, strain anomalies, or heightened activity signal an imminent large quake, as short-term prediction remains impossible per USGS consensus. Traders should monitor the USGS real-time earthquake map and catalog for rapid detections, with final magnitudes confirmed via seismic waveform analysis within days; key updates could emerge before the May 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Volumen
$25,095Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.U.S. Geological Survey data indicates no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now a 25-day lull as of May 15 that slightly exceeds the historical average interval of 18-24 days, given 15-20 such events occur annually along global tectonic boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Ongoing moderate seismicity persists in subduction zones and transform faults, but no foreshock swarms, strain anomalies, or heightened activity signal an imminent large quake, as short-term prediction remains impossible per USGS consensus. Traders should monitor the USGS real-time earthquake map and catalog for rapid detections, with final magnitudes confirmed via seismic waveform analysis within days; key updates could emerge before the May 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$25,095Enddatum
31. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. Geological Survey data indicates no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km ENE of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now a 25-day lull as of May 15 that slightly exceeds the historical average interval of 18-24 days, given 15-20 such events occur annually along global tectonic boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire. Ongoing moderate seismicity persists in subduction zones and transform faults, but no foreshock swarms, strain anomalies, or heightened activity signal an imminent large quake, as short-term prediction remains impossible per USGS consensus. Traders should monitor the USGS real-time earthquake map and catalog for rapid detections, with final magnitudes confirmed via seismic waveform analysis within days; key updates could emerge before the May 30 cutoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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