Trader consensus assigns a 68.2% probability to just 1-100 Trump Gold Cards being sold in 2026, reflecting the program's limited progress since its December 2025 launch. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified on April 23 that only one applicant had been approved despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales and over $100 billion in revenue. The $1 million contribution requirement plus $15,000 processing fee faces competition from lower-cost EB-5 investor visas and ongoing questions over expedited processing timelines. With seven months remaining in the calendar year and no announced policy adjustments or marketing surges, traders see few catalysts capable of shifting volumes into higher ranges before official year-end figures determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie viele Goldkarten wird Trump 2026 verkaufen?
Wie viele Goldkarten wird Trump 2026 verkaufen?
1-100 68.3%
101-1k 13.5%
>100k 8.1%
2,5k–5k 4.1%
$235,009 Vol.
$235,009 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
1-100
68%
101-1k
13%
1.000–2.500
4%
2,5k–5k
4%
5.000–10.000
4%
10.000–25.000
2%
25.000-100.000
2%
>100k
8%
1-100 68.3%
101-1k 13.5%
>100k 8.1%
2,5k–5k 4.1%
$235,009 Vol.
$235,009 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
1-100
$15,587 Vol.
68%
101-1k
$8,057 Vol.
13%
1.000–2.500
$9,286 Vol.
4%
2,5k–5k
$7,931 Vol.
4%
5.000–10.000
$9,174 Vol.
4%
10.000–25.000
$110,794 Vol.
2%
25.000-100.000
$7,129 Vol.
2%
>100k
$22,625 Vol.
8%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns a 68.2% probability to just 1-100 Trump Gold Cards being sold in 2026, reflecting the program's limited progress since its December 2025 launch. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified on April 23 that only one applicant had been approved despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales and over $100 billion in revenue. The $1 million contribution requirement plus $15,000 processing fee faces competition from lower-cost EB-5 investor visas and ongoing questions over expedited processing timelines. With seven months remaining in the calendar year and no announced policy adjustments or marketing surges, traders see few catalysts capable of shifting volumes into higher ranges before official year-end figures determine resolution.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volumen
$235,009Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus assigns a 68.2% probability to just 1-100 Trump Gold Cards being sold in 2026, reflecting the program's limited progress since its December 2025 launch. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified on April 23 that only one applicant had been approved despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales and over $100 billion in revenue. The $1 million contribution requirement plus $15,000 processing fee faces competition from lower-cost EB-5 investor visas and ongoing questions over expedited processing timelines. With seven months remaining in the calendar year and no announced policy adjustments or marketing surges, traders see few catalysts capable of shifting volumes into higher ranges before official year-end figures determine resolution.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$235,009Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus assigns a 68.2% probability to just 1-100 Trump Gold Cards being sold in 2026, reflecting the program's limited progress since its December 2025 launch. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified on April 23 that only one applicant had been approved despite earlier projections of tens of thousands of sales and over $100 billion in revenue. The $1 million contribution requirement plus $15,000 processing fee faces competition from lower-cost EB-5 investor visas and ongoing questions over expedited processing timelines. With seven months remaining in the calendar year and no announced policy adjustments or marketing surges, traders see few catalysts capable of shifting volumes into higher ranges before official year-end figures determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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