The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited lawful permanent residency through EB-1 or EB-2 channels in exchange for a $1 million individual donation (or $2 million corporate) plus a $15,000 processing fee. Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome because official data through mid-2026 show just one completed approval and roughly 165 paid applications despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in activity, with hundreds more still undergoing rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting. Slow rollout, ongoing legal challenges to the program’s authority, and the high price point have limited momentum into the second half of 2026, keeping higher-volume brackets at single-digit implied probabilities. Resolution depends on finalized payments and approvals recorded by December 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
25.000-100.000 1.8%
$293,275 Vol.
$293,275 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
1-100
65%
101-1k
4%
1.000–2.500
1%
2,5k–5k
<1%
5.000–10.000
2%
10.000–25.000
2%
25.000-100.000
2%
>100k
5%
1-100 76.2%
>100k 4.9%
101-1k 3.6%
25.000-100.000 1.8%
$293,275 Vol.
$293,275 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
1-100
$18,522 Vol.
65%
101-1k
$41,423 Vol.
4%
1.000–2.500
$11,376 Vol.
1%
2,5k–5k
$11,094 Vol.
<1%
5.000–10.000
$11,989 Vol.
2%
10.000–25.000
$116,872 Vol.
2%
25.000-100.000
$11,454 Vol.
2%
>100k
$26,118 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited lawful permanent residency through EB-1 or EB-2 channels in exchange for a $1 million individual donation (or $2 million corporate) plus a $15,000 processing fee. Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome because official data through mid-2026 show just one completed approval and roughly 165 paid applications despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in activity, with hundreds more still undergoing rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting. Slow rollout, ongoing legal challenges to the program’s authority, and the high price point have limited momentum into the second half of 2026, keeping higher-volume brackets at single-digit implied probabilities. Resolution depends on finalized payments and approvals recorded by December 31.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volumen
$293,275Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited lawful permanent residency through EB-1 or EB-2 channels in exchange for a $1 million individual donation (or $2 million corporate) plus a $15,000 processing fee. Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome because official data through mid-2026 show just one completed approval and roughly 165 paid applications despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in activity, with hundreds more still undergoing rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting. Slow rollout, ongoing legal challenges to the program’s authority, and the high price point have limited momentum into the second half of 2026, keeping higher-volume brackets at single-digit implied probabilities. Resolution depends on finalized payments and approvals recorded by December 31.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$293,275Enddatum
1. Jan. 2027Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...The Trump Gold Card program, established by executive order in September 2025, offers expedited lawful permanent residency through EB-1 or EB-2 channels in exchange for a $1 million individual donation (or $2 million corporate) plus a $15,000 processing fee. Trader consensus heavily favors the 1-100 outcome because official data through mid-2026 show just one completed approval and roughly 165 paid applications despite earlier claims of over $1 billion in activity, with hundreds more still undergoing rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting. Slow rollout, ongoing legal challenges to the program’s authority, and the high price point have limited momentum into the second half of 2026, keeping higher-volume brackets at single-digit implied probabilities. Resolution depends on finalized payments and approvals recorded by December 31.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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