Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<38,0 40%
38,0–38,4 40%
38,5–38,9 40%
39,0–39,4 40%
NEU
NEU
31. Juli 2026
<38,0
40%
38,0–38,4
40%
38,5–38,9
40%
39,0–39,4
40%
39,5–39,9
40%
40,0+
40%
<38,0 40%
38,0–38,4 40%
38,5–38,9 40%
39,0–39,4 40%
NEU
NEU
31. Juli 2026
<38,0
$0 Vol.
40%
38,0–38,4
$0 Vol.
40%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
40%
39,0–39,4
$0 Vol.
40%
39,5–39,9
$0 Vol.
40%
40,0+
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 24, 2026, 7:03 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 31, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
31. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 24, 2026, 7:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-July shows President Trump's job approval hovering between 36% and 40%, driven primarily by voter concerns over the economy, inflation, and cost of living alongside dissatisfaction with U.S. handling of the Iran conflict and rising gas prices. Multiple surveys, including those from Pew, Emerson, Washington Post/Ipsos, and CNBC, reflect net approval ratings in the -17 to -24 range with limited movement over recent weeks. These steady but low readings keep the July 31 outcome tightly contested across the 38–40 band, as traders weigh the absence of immediate catalysts against the potential for late polling shifts from economic data releases or diplomatic developments before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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