Republicans enter the 2026 midterms defending slim majorities in both chambers, with the Senate map and House redistricting creating offsetting pressures that keep combined seat totals tightly bunched in trader pricing. Senate forecasts show a narrow Republican edge in holding around 49 seats amid competitive contests in states such as Georgia, North Carolina, and Michigan, while historical midterm dynamics and generic-ballot polling favor Democratic gains. In the House, Cook Political Report and Economist models indicate Democrats are positioned to net multiple seats from vulnerable Republican incumbents despite favorable map adjustments, producing expected Republican totals clustered between roughly 200 and 215. Upcoming polls, candidate fundraising reports, and any late shifts in voter sentiment on economic or policy issues remain the primary catalysts that could widen the range of likely outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert47–49 und 193–207 21.5%
50–52 und 208–222 16.0%
≤46 und ≤192 14.3%
≤46 und 193–207 11.2%
$25,817 Vol.
$25,817 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
≥53 und ≥223
2%
≥53 und 208–222
4%
≥53 und ≤207
3%
50–52 und ≥223
5%
50–52 und 208–222
16%
50–52 und 193–207
10%
50–52 und ≤192
5%
47–49 und ≥208
5%
47–49 und 193–207
22%
47–49 und ≤192
11%
≤46 und ≥208
2%
≤46 und 193–207
11%
≤46 und ≤192
14%
47–49 und 193–207 21.5%
50–52 und 208–222 16.0%
≤46 und ≤192 14.3%
≤46 und 193–207 11.2%
$25,817 Vol.
$25,817 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
≥53 und ≥223
$503 Vol.
2%
≥53 und 208–222
$2,594 Vol.
4%
≥53 und ≤207
$640 Vol.
3%
50–52 und ≥223
$464 Vol.
5%
50–52 und 208–222
$5,970 Vol.
16%
50–52 und 193–207
$6,096 Vol.
10%
50–52 und ≤192
$1,767 Vol.
5%
47–49 und ≥208
$1,074 Vol.
5%
47–49 und 193–207
$1,044 Vol.
22%
47–49 und ≤192
$2,072 Vol.
11%
≤46 und ≥208
$551 Vol.
2%
≤46 und 193–207
$879 Vol.
11%
≤46 und ≤192
$2,163 Vol.
14%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Senate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans enter the 2026 midterms defending slim majorities in both chambers, with the Senate map and House redistricting creating offsetting pressures that keep combined seat totals tightly bunched in trader pricing. Senate forecasts show a narrow Republican edge in holding around 49 seats amid competitive contests in states such as Georgia, North Carolina, and Michigan, while historical midterm dynamics and generic-ballot polling favor Democratic gains. In the House, Cook Political Report and Economist models indicate Democrats are positioned to net multiple seats from vulnerable Republican incumbents despite favorable map adjustments, producing expected Republican totals clustered between roughly 200 and 215. Upcoming polls, candidate fundraising reports, and any late shifts in voter sentiment on economic or policy issues remain the primary catalysts that could widen the range of likely outcomes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Senate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Senate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Volumen
$25,817Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Senate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans enter the 2026 midterms defending slim majorities in both chambers, with the Senate map and House redistricting creating offsetting pressures that keep combined seat totals tightly bunched in trader pricing. Senate forecasts show a narrow Republican edge in holding around 49 seats amid competitive contests in states such as Georgia, North Carolina, and Michigan, while historical midterm dynamics and generic-ballot polling favor Democratic gains. In the House, Cook Political Report and Economist models indicate Democrats are positioned to net multiple seats from vulnerable Republican incumbents despite favorable map adjustments, producing expected Republican totals clustered between roughly 200 and 215. Upcoming polls, candidate fundraising reports, and any late shifts in voter sentiment on economic or policy issues remain the primary catalysts that could widen the range of likely outcomes.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Senate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the combined outcome of the Republican Party’s seat count in the US House of Representatives and the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.
For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.
Senate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with a party are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$25,817Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 25, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Republicans enter the 2026 midterms defending slim majorities in both chambers, with the Senate map and House redistricting creating offsetting pressures that keep combined seat totals tightly bunched in trader pricing. Senate forecasts show a narrow Republican edge in holding around 49 seats amid competitive contests in states such as Georgia, North Carolina, and Michigan, while historical midterm dynamics and generic-ballot polling favor Democratic gains. In the House, Cook Political Report and Economist models indicate Democrats are positioned to net multiple seats from vulnerable Republican incumbents despite favorable map adjustments, producing expected Republican totals clustered between roughly 200 and 215. Upcoming polls, candidate fundraising reports, and any late shifts in voter sentiment on economic or policy issues remain the primary catalysts that could widen the range of likely outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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