Texas's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+25 partisan voting index, consistent support for Republican presidential candidates exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, and majority-White rural and agricultural voter base. With incumbent Jodey Arrington retiring, the May 2026 Republican primary runoff produced nominee Tom Sell, who secured the nod after defeating Abraham Enriquez with endorsements from House GOP leadership. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces the November general election in a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts in West Texas counties could narrow margins, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited pathways for change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertTX-19 Wahlsieger
TX-19 Wahlsieger
$15,725 Vol.
$15,725 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
94%
Demokratische Partei
7%
$15,725 Vol.
$15,725 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$2,265 Vol.
94%
Demokratische Partei
$13,460 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+25 partisan voting index, consistent support for Republican presidential candidates exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, and majority-White rural and agricultural voter base. With incumbent Jodey Arrington retiring, the May 2026 Republican primary runoff produced nominee Tom Sell, who secured the nod after defeating Abraham Enriquez with endorsements from House GOP leadership. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces the November general election in a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts in West Texas counties could narrow margins, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$15,725Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+25 partisan voting index, consistent support for Republican presidential candidates exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, and majority-White rural and agricultural voter base. With incumbent Jodey Arrington retiring, the May 2026 Republican primary runoff produced nominee Tom Sell, who secured the nod after defeating Abraham Enriquez with endorsements from House GOP leadership. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces the November general election in a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts in West Texas counties could narrow margins, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited pathways for change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,725Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 19th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+25 partisan voting index, consistent support for Republican presidential candidates exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, and majority-White rural and agricultural voter base. With incumbent Jodey Arrington retiring, the May 2026 Republican primary runoff produced nominee Tom Sell, who secured the nod after defeating Abraham Enriquez with endorsements from House GOP leadership. Democratic nominee Kyle Rable faces the November general election in a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected turnout shifts in West Texas counties could narrow margins, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate limited pathways for change.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen