Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Republican victory in Idaho's 2026 gubernatorial race at 94.8%, driven by the state's Republican trifecta, supermajority legislature, and historical patterns where Democrats last won the governorship in 1990. Incumbent Governor Brad Little seeks a third term amid a crowded Republican primary on May 19, facing challengers like Ron James and Lisa Marie, but forecasters including Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican regardless of nominee. Recent candidate forums in April highlighted intra-party differences on issues like taxes and growth, yet no developments have eroded GOP dominance. Realistic challenges include a polarizing primary winner sparking voter backlash, major scandal, or national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout in this safe Republican battleground.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Republikaner
95%

Democrat
3%

Republikaner
95%

Democrat
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a Republican victory in Idaho's 2026 gubernatorial race at 94.8%, driven by the state's Republican trifecta, supermajority legislature, and historical patterns where Democrats last won the governorship in 1990. Incumbent Governor Brad Little seeks a third term amid a crowded Republican primary on May 19, facing challengers like Ron James and Lisa Marie, but forecasters including Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican regardless of nominee. Recent candidate forums in April highlighted intra-party differences on issues like taxes and growth, yet no developments have eroded GOP dominance. Realistic challenges include a polarizing primary winner sparking voter backlash, major scandal, or national midterm wave boosting Democratic turnout in this safe Republican battleground.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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