The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party of Korea nominee and close ally of President Lee Jae Myung, holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 Incheon mayoral race due to the ruling party's broad momentum in the first nationwide local elections since the 2024 martial law episode. As a three-term lawmaker, Park benefits from strong ties to the national administration and has centered his platform on biotech development and self-sufficiency initiatives, contrasting sharply with incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the opposition People Power Party. Recent candidate registrations and campaign announcements have further solidified trader consensus around Park's frontrunner status. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout shifts in key districts, or sudden changes in national polling could still narrow the margin before election day.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party of Korea nominee and close ally of President Lee Jae Myung, holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 Incheon mayoral race due to the ruling party's broad momentum in the first nationwide local elections since the 2024 martial law episode. As a three-term lawmaker, Park benefits from strong ties to the national administration and has centered his platform on biotech development and self-sufficiency initiatives, contrasting sharply with incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the opposition People Power Party. Recent candidate registrations and campaign announcements have further solidified trader consensus around Park's frontrunner status. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout shifts in key districts, or sudden changes in national polling could still narrow the margin before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party of Korea nominee and close ally of President Lee Jae Myung, holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 Incheon mayoral race due to the ruling party's broad momentum in the first nationwide local elections since the 2024 martial law episode. As a three-term lawmaker, Park benefits from strong ties to the national administration and has centered his platform on biotech development and self-sufficiency initiatives, contrasting sharply with incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the opposition People Power Party. Recent candidate registrations and campaign announcements have further solidified trader consensus around Park's frontrunner status. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout shifts in key districts, or sudden changes in national polling could still narrow the margin before election day.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party of Korea nominee and close ally of President Lee Jae Myung, holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 Incheon mayoral race due to the ruling party's broad momentum in the first nationwide local elections since the 2024 martial law episode. As a three-term lawmaker, Park benefits from strong ties to the national administration and has centered his platform on biotech development and self-sufficiency initiatives, contrasting sharply with incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the opposition People Power Party. Recent candidate registrations and campaign announcements have further solidified trader consensus around Park's frontrunner status. While the implied probability exceeds 90 percent, late developments such as major scandals, unexpected turnout shifts in key districts, or sudden changes in national polling could still narrow the margin before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen
„Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 9 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Park Chan-dae" mit 95%, gefolgt von „Yoo Jeong-bok" mit 4%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 95¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.
Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $2.6 million generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 17, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.
Um auf „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 9 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.
Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" ist „Park Chan-dae" mit 95%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 95% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Yoo Jeong-bok" mit 4%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.
Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.
Ja. Sie müssen nicht handeln, um informiert zu bleiben. Diese Seite dient als Live-Tracker für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon". Die Ergebniswahrscheinlichkeiten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn neue Handelsgeschäfte eingehen. Sie können diese Seite als Lesezeichen speichern und den Kommentarbereich lesen, um zu sehen, was andere Händler sagen. Sie können auch die Zeitfilter im Diagramm nutzen, um zu sehen, wie sich die Quoten im Laufe der Zeit verändert haben.
Polymarket-Quoten werden von echten Händlern festgelegt, die echtes Geld hinter ihre Überzeugungen setzen, was tendenziell genaue Vorhersagen hervorbringt. Mit $2.6 million Handelsvolumen bei “Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon” aggregieren diese Preise das kollektive Wissen und die Überzeugung Tausender Teilnehmer — oft genauer als Umfragen, Expertenprognosen und traditionelle Erhebungen. Prognosemärkte wie Polymarket haben eine starke Erfolgsbilanz bei der Genauigkeit, besonders wenn Ereignisse sich ihrem Auflösungsdatum nähern. Beispielsweise hat Polymarket einen Einmonats-Genauigkeitswert von 94%. Für die neuesten Statistiken zur Vorhersagegenauigkeit von Polymarket besuchen Sie die Genauigkeitsseite auf Polymarket.
Um Ihren ersten Handel auf „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" zu platzieren, erstellen Sie ein kostenloses Polymarket-Konto und laden Sie es mit Krypto, Kredit- oder Debitkarte oder Banküberweisung auf. Sobald Ihr Konto aufgeladen ist, kehren Sie zu dieser Seite zurück, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, auf das Sie handeln möchten, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie neu bei Prognosemärkten sind, klicken Sie auf den Link „So funktioniert es" oben auf jeder Polymarket-Seite für eine Schritt-für-Schritt-Anleitung.
Auf Polymarket repräsentiert der Preis jedes Ergebnisses die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes. Ein Preis von 95¢ für „Park Chan-dae" im Markt „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" bedeutet, dass Händler kollektiv eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von etwa 95% sehen, dass „Park Chan-dae" das korrekte Ergebnis sein wird. Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile bei 95¢ kaufen und das Ergebnis korrekt ist, erhalten Sie $1,00 pro Anteil – ein Gewinn von 5¢ pro Anteil. Ist es falsch, sind diese Anteile $0 wert.
Der Markt „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" ist geplant, um am oder um den Jun 3, 2026 aufgelöst zu werden. Das bedeutet, dass der Handel offen bleibt und die Quoten sich weiter verschieben, bis dieses Datum erreicht ist. Der genaue Auflösungszeitpunkt hängt davon ab, wann das offizielle Ergebnis verfügbar ist, wie im Abschnitt „Regeln" beschrieben.
Der Markt „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon" hat eine wachsende Diskussion mit 7 Kommentaren, in der Händler ihre Analysen teilen, Ergebnisse diskutieren und aktuelle Entwicklungen besprechen. Scrollen Sie zum Kommentarbereich unten, um zu lesen, was andere Teilnehmer denken. Sie können auch nach „Top-Haltern" filtern oder den Tab „Aktivität" für einen Echtzeit-Feed von Handelsgeschäften prüfen.
Polymarket ist der größte Prognosemarkt der Welt, auf dem Sie informiert bleiben und von Ihrem Wissen über reale Ereignisse profitieren können. Händler kaufen und verkaufen Anteile an Ergebnissen zu Themen von Politik und Wahlen bis hin zu Krypto, Finanzen, Sport, Technologie und Kultur, einschließlich Märkten wie „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl in Incheon". Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten wider, die durch finanzielle Überzeugung gestützt werden — oft schneller und genauer als Umfragen, Experten oder traditionelle Erhebungen.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen