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icon for Israel-Wahl: Otzma Yehudit & RZP laufen auf derselben Liste?
Welt·Mittlerer Osten

Israel-Wahl: Otzma Yehudit & RZP laufen auf derselben Liste?

icon for Israel-Wahl: Otzma Yehudit & RZP laufen auf derselben Liste?
Welt·Mittlerer Osten

Israel-Wahl: Otzma Yehudit & RZP laufen auf derselben Liste?

Ja

23% Chance
Polymarket
NEU

Ja

23% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list. If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered. If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Recent polls showing Religious Zionist Party (RZP) leader Bezalel Smotrich’s list at risk of falling below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold—exacerbated by Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party drawing from the same religious, right-wing, pro-settlement voters—prompted Prime Minister Netanyahu to publicly urge a joint Otzma Yehudit–RZP ticket. Itamar Ben-Gvir has rejected unification, stating Otzma Yehudit will run independently to maximize its seats and accusing Netanyahu of seeking to weaken his faction. RZP completed its July primaries and released a separate slate, with final lists due September 9 ahead of the October 27 election. These developments, following the parties’ 2022 technical merger and subsequent split, underpin trader consensus against a renewed joint list.

Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.

If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.

If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volumen
$1,490
Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list. If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered. If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list. If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered. If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).Recent polls showing Religious Zionist Party (RZP) leader Bezalel Smotrich’s list at risk of falling below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold—exacerbated by Ofer Winter’s new People of Israel party drawing from the same religious, right-wing, pro-settlement voters—prompted Prime Minister Netanyahu to publicly urge a joint Otzma Yehudit–RZP ticket. Itamar Ben-Gvir has rejected unification, stating Otzma Yehudit will run independently to maximize its seats and accusing Netanyahu of seeking to weaken his faction. RZP completed its July primaries and released a separate slate, with final lists due September 9 ahead of the October 27 election. These developments, following the parties’ 2022 technical merger and subsequent split, underpin trader consensus against a renewed joint list.

Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.

If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.

If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volumen
$1,490
Enddatum
7. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list. If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered. If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).

Verwandte

icon for Israel-Wahl: Otzma Yehudit & Noam auf gemeinsamer Liste?

Israel-Wahl: Otzma Yehudit & Noam auf gemeinsamer Liste?

50%
Ja
icon for Israelische Wahl: Zehut & RZP auf gemeinsamer Liste?

Israelische Wahl: Zehut & RZP auf gemeinsamer Liste?

68%
Ja
icon for Israelische Wahl: Treten Likud & RZP auf derselben Liste an?

Israelische Wahl: Treten Likud & RZP auf derselben Liste an?

22%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

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