Recent reunification of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad into the Joint List in August 2026, excluding Ra’am, has introduced volatility in Arab-sector polling amid Israel’s 2026 legislative contest. National surveys from early September project the reunited list near 6–8 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% national vote share, while Ra’am holds separately at 4–5 seats. Trader odds remain closely balanced because broader bloc shifts—such as Yashar and Together gains eroding the Netanyahu-aligned tally—coexist with uncertain Arab turnout and split-vote dynamics. Minor changes in participation rates or last-minute list finalization could push the share above or below key thresholds before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert<4,5 % 37%
7,5 %+ 37%
5,5-6,5 % 30%
6,5-7,5% 30%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4,5 %
37%
4,5-5,5%
29%
5,5-6,5 %
30%
6,5-7,5%
30%
7,5 %+
37%
<4,5 % 37%
7,5 %+ 37%
5,5-6,5 % 30%
6,5-7,5% 30%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<4,5 %
$0 Vol.
37%
4,5-5,5%
$0 Vol.
29%
5,5-6,5 %
$0 Vol.
30%
6,5-7,5%
$0 Vol.
30%
7,5 %+
$0 Vol.
37%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent reunification of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad into the Joint List in August 2026, excluding Ra’am, has introduced volatility in Arab-sector polling amid Israel’s 2026 legislative contest. National surveys from early September project the reunited list near 6–8 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% national vote share, while Ra’am holds separately at 4–5 seats. Trader odds remain closely balanced because broader bloc shifts—such as Yashar and Together gains eroding the Netanyahu-aligned tally—coexist with uncertain Arab turnout and split-vote dynamics. Minor changes in participation rates or last-minute list finalization could push the share above or below key thresholds before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent reunification of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad into the Joint List in August 2026, excluding Ra’am, has introduced volatility in Arab-sector polling amid Israel’s 2026 legislative contest. National surveys from early September project the reunited list near 6–8 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% national vote share, while Ra’am holds separately at 4–5 seats. Trader odds remain closely balanced because broader bloc shifts—such as Yashar and Together gains eroding the Netanyahu-aligned tally—coexist with uncertain Arab turnout and split-vote dynamics. Minor changes in participation rates or last-minute list finalization could push the share above or below key thresholds before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent reunification of Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad into the Joint List in August 2026, excluding Ra’am, has introduced volatility in Arab-sector polling amid Israel’s 2026 legislative contest. National surveys from early September project the reunited list near 6–8 seats, consistent with roughly 5–7% national vote share, while Ra’am holds separately at 4–5 seats. Trader odds remain closely balanced because broader bloc shifts—such as Yashar and Together gains eroding the Netanyahu-aligned tally—coexist with uncertain Arab turnout and split-vote dynamics. Minor changes in participation rates or last-minute list finalization could push the share above or below key thresholds before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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