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icon for Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsam Stimmen teilen?

Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsam Stimmen teilen?

icon for Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsam Stimmen teilen?

Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsam Stimmen teilen?

<7% 45%

7-9 % 43%

9-11 % 43%

13 %+ 42%

Polymarket
NEU

<7% 45%

7-9 % 43%

9-11 % 43%

13 %+ 42%

Polymarket
NEU

<7%

$0 Vol.

45%

7-9 %

$0 Vol.

43%

9-11 %

$0 Vol.

43%

11-13%

$0 Vol.

37%

13 %+

$0 Vol.

42%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the Together alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid experiencing a sustained decline, with projected seat totals falling into the low-to-mid teens in multiple surveys conducted in early September. This reflects voter movement toward Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and other opposition options following the decision by the two largest anti-Netanyahu lists to submit separate candidate slates rather than merge. With roughly 10% of respondents undecided and the 3.25% electoral threshold in play, small shifts in turnout or late consolidation could alter Together's final percentage. The tight clustering of market prices around the 7-9% and sub-7% bands mirrors this ongoing volatility in the fragmented center-right and centrist space.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows the Together alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid experiencing a sustained decline, with projected seat totals falling into the low-to-mid teens in multiple surveys conducted in early September. This reflects voter movement toward Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and other opposition options following the decision by the two largest anti-Netanyahu lists to submit separate candidate slates rather than merge. With roughly 10% of respondents undecided and the 3.25% electoral threshold in play, small shifts in turnout or late consolidation could alter Together's final percentage. The tight clustering of market prices around the 7-9% and sub-7% bands mirrors this ongoing volatility in the fragmented center-right and centrist space.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Together party list in the Israeli Knesset elections. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Together's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Together passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:17 PM ET

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsam Stimmen teilen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<7%" mit 45%, gefolgt von „7-9 %" mit 43%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsam Stimmen teilen?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 8, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Israel-Wahl: Gemeinsam Stimmen teilen?" ist „<7%" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „7-9 %" mit 43%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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