**South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment.** Passage requires a two-thirds vote there before any Constitutional Court review, and the opposition lacks the seats to reach that threshold before the next legislative elections in 2028. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for Lee’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures, yet it has no realistic path forward given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s approval rating has declined to the low 40s amid policy debates over housing taxes, prosecutorial reforms, and economic pressures, but these shifts have not altered the assembly’s composition or generated cross-party support for removal proceedings. Traders therefore assign low probability to successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting the institutional math that has held since Lee took office in June 2025.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
8% Chance
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
8% Chance
$20,368 Vol.
$20,368 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment.** Passage requires a two-thirds vote there before any Constitutional Court review, and the opposition lacks the seats to reach that threshold before the next legislative elections in 2028.
A June 2026 citizen petition calling for Lee’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures, yet it has no realistic path forward given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s approval rating has declined to the low 40s amid policy debates over housing taxes, prosecutorial reforms, and economic pressures, but these shifts have not altered the assembly’s composition or generated cross-party support for removal proceedings.
Traders therefore assign low probability to successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting the institutional math that has held since Lee took office in June 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Volumen
$20,368Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment.** Passage requires a two-thirds vote there before any Constitutional Court review, and the opposition lacks the seats to reach that threshold before the next legislative elections in 2028.
A June 2026 citizen petition calling for Lee’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures, yet it has no realistic path forward given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s approval rating has declined to the low 40s amid policy debates over housing taxes, prosecutorial reforms, and economic pressures, but these shifts have not altered the assembly’s composition or generated cross-party support for removal proceedings.
Traders therefore assign low probability to successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting the institutional math that has held since Lee took office in June 2025.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volumen
$20,368Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, creating a structural barrier to impeachment.** Passage requires a two-thirds vote there before any Constitutional Court review, and the opposition lacks the seats to reach that threshold before the next legislative elections in 2028. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for Lee’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures, yet it has no realistic path forward given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s approval rating has declined to the low 40s amid policy debates over housing taxes, prosecutorial reforms, and economic pressures, but these shifts have not altered the assembly’s composition or generated cross-party support for removal proceedings. Traders therefore assign low probability to successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting the institutional math that has held since Lee took office in June 2025.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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