Recent forecast models from global ensembles point to a Beijing minimum around 16–18°C on September 14 under clear skies and light, variable winds associated with a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in the dry autumn air mass, with dew points near 9–12°C limiting moisture retention and allowing temperatures to fall steadily after sunset. Trader balance between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflects model spread on exact wind speeds and any thin high-cloud interference that could reduce cooling rates by 2–4°C. Historical mid-September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 15–18°C, so resolution hinges on final observational data from the China Meteorological Administration rather than further model shifts before the 24-hour window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 14. September?
9°C oder weniger 89%
19°C oder höher 89%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
9°C oder weniger
89%
10°C
9%
11°C
18%
12°C
36%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
22%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
7%
19°C oder höher
89%
9°C oder weniger 89%
19°C oder höher 89%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
9°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
89%
10°C
$0 Vol.
9%
11°C
$0 Vol.
18%
12°C
$0 Vol.
36%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$42 Vol.
7%
19°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from global ensembles point to a Beijing minimum around 16–18°C on September 14 under clear skies and light, variable winds associated with a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in the dry autumn air mass, with dew points near 9–12°C limiting moisture retention and allowing temperatures to fall steadily after sunset. Trader balance between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflects model spread on exact wind speeds and any thin high-cloud interference that could reduce cooling rates by 2–4°C. Historical mid-September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 15–18°C, so resolution hinges on final observational data from the China Meteorological Administration rather than further model shifts before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$42Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from global ensembles point to a Beijing minimum around 16–18°C on September 14 under clear skies and light, variable winds associated with a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in the dry autumn air mass, with dew points near 9–12°C limiting moisture retention and allowing temperatures to fall steadily after sunset. Trader balance between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflects model spread on exact wind speeds and any thin high-cloud interference that could reduce cooling rates by 2–4°C. Historical mid-September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 15–18°C, so resolution hinges on final observational data from the China Meteorological Administration rather than further model shifts before the 24-hour window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$42Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from global ensembles point to a Beijing minimum around 16–18°C on September 14 under clear skies and light, variable winds associated with a stable high-pressure ridge. This setup promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling in the dry autumn air mass, with dew points near 9–12°C limiting moisture retention and allowing temperatures to fall steadily after sunset. Trader balance between sub-10°C and 19°C+ outcomes reflects model spread on exact wind speeds and any thin high-cloud interference that could reduce cooling rates by 2–4°C. Historical mid-September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 15–18°C, so resolution hinges on final observational data from the China Meteorological Administration rather than further model shifts before the 24-hour window closes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen