Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office point to a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on August 26, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies promoting nighttime radiative cooling, and light winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical August lows average 20–22°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current model consensus while noting that ensemble spreads and potential for minor cloud cover or advection could shift the actual minimum by 1–3°C. With leading market-implied probabilities closely split near 44–43% between 20°C and 25°C, traders appear focused on resolution criteria tied to official station readings and the narrow uncertainty range in the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 26. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 26. August?
25°C 86%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
20°C 45%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
14%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
86%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
14%
25°C 86%
18°C 50%
19°C 50%
20°C 45%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
17°C or below
$70 Vol.
14%
18°C
$15 Vol.
50%
19°C
$15 Vol.
50%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$120 Vol.
86%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$135 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office point to a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on August 26, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies promoting nighttime radiative cooling, and light winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical August lows average 20–22°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current model consensus while noting that ensemble spreads and potential for minor cloud cover or advection could shift the actual minimum by 1–3°C. With leading market-implied probabilities closely split near 44–43% between 20°C and 25°C, traders appear focused on resolution criteria tied to official station readings and the narrow uncertainty range in the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$355Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office point to a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on August 26, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies promoting nighttime radiative cooling, and light winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical August lows average 20–22°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current model consensus while noting that ensemble spreads and potential for minor cloud cover or advection could shift the actual minimum by 1–3°C. With leading market-implied probabilities closely split near 44–43% between 20°C and 25°C, traders appear focused on resolution criteria tied to official station readings and the narrow uncertainty range in the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$355Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office point to a minimum temperature near 20°C in Istanbul on August 26, driven by stable high pressure, clear skies promoting nighttime radiative cooling, and light winds typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical August lows average 20–22°C, providing a climatological baseline that aligns with current model consensus while noting that ensemble spreads and potential for minor cloud cover or advection could shift the actual minimum by 1–3°C. With leading market-implied probabilities closely split near 44–43% between 20°C and 25°C, traders appear focused on resolution criteria tied to official station readings and the narrow uncertainty range in the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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