Persistent high-pressure patterns and warm southerly flow over the Sea of Marmara are sustaining elevated overnight lows across Istanbul, keeping minimum temperatures near or above 27°C on recent days. Model consensus from official agencies indicates continued clear skies and light winds through August 25, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting trader consensus around 27–28°C or higher outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and regional sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 25°C. Key resolution hinges on the official station’s recorded low, with any shift in steering winds or increased cloud cover the main variables that could alter the distribution in the final 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Istanbul am 25. August?
19°C 50%
27°C 50%
28°C or higher 50%
18°C or below 33%
18°C or below
33%
19°C
50%
20°C
2%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
9%
27°C
50%
28°C or higher
50%
19°C 50%
27°C 50%
28°C or higher 50%
18°C or below 33%
18°C or below
33%
19°C
50%
20°C
2%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
28%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
9%
27°C
50%
28°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure patterns and warm southerly flow over the Sea of Marmara are sustaining elevated overnight lows across Istanbul, keeping minimum temperatures near or above 27°C on recent days. Model consensus from official agencies indicates continued clear skies and light winds through August 25, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting trader consensus around 27–28°C or higher outcomes. Urban heat-island effects and regional sea-surface temperatures near 24–25°C further reduce the likelihood of sharp drops below 25°C. Key resolution hinges on the official station’s recorded low, with any shift in steering winds or increased cloud cover the main variables that could alter the distribution in the final 48 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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