Recent model consensus from Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources points to a minimum temperature near 26–28°C in Karachi on September 16, shaped by lingering monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and moderate southwesterly winds moderating overnight cooling. Recent heat reaching 40°C has given way to scattered thunderstorms and light rain through September 15–16, which can suppress daytime maxima while limiting radiative cooling at night. Ensemble forecasts show low precipitation probability but elevated humidity near 85% overnight, keeping the low above 25°C in most runs. Historical September baselines average 25–27°C minima, yet variable steering patterns and any stronger sea breeze could push readings toward 24°C or sustain them near 29°C, creating the tight market clustering around 23°C or below, 28°C, and 33°C+ outcomes. Updated model guidance on September 16 morning will refine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Karatschi am 16. September?
33°C oder höher 69%
23°C oder weniger 67%
28°C 49%
27°C 40%
23°C oder weniger
67%
24°C
39%
25°C
19%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
49%
29°C
22%
30°C
8%
31°C
39%
32°C
39%
33°C oder höher
69%
33°C oder höher 69%
23°C oder weniger 67%
28°C 49%
27°C 40%
23°C oder weniger
67%
24°C
39%
25°C
19%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
49%
29°C
22%
30°C
8%
31°C
39%
32°C
39%
33°C oder höher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Pakistan Meteorological Department and international sources points to a minimum temperature near 26–28°C in Karachi on September 16, shaped by lingering monsoon moisture, increased cloud cover, and moderate southwesterly winds moderating overnight cooling. Recent heat reaching 40°C has given way to scattered thunderstorms and light rain through September 15–16, which can suppress daytime maxima while limiting radiative cooling at night. Ensemble forecasts show low precipitation probability but elevated humidity near 85% overnight, keeping the low above 25°C in most runs. Historical September baselines average 25–27°C minima, yet variable steering patterns and any stronger sea breeze could push readings toward 24°C or sustain them near 29°C, creating the tight market clustering around 23°C or below, 28°C, and 33°C+ outcomes. Updated model guidance on September 16 morning will refine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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