Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 27. August?
19°C 100.0%
13°C oder niedriger <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,282 Vol.
$14,282 Vol.
13°C oder niedriger
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C oder höher
Nein
19°C 100.0%
13°C oder niedriger <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,282 Vol.
$14,282 Vol.
13°C oder niedriger
Nein
14°C
Nein
15°C
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Nein
18°C
Nein
19°C
Ja
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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