Forecast models indicate mild overnight conditions for London on September 2 driven by a persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the 15–17 °C range. Official guidance from the Met Office and European models shows early-morning readings bottoming near 15–16 °C under light winds and high humidity, consistent with the current market distribution favoring those two outcomes. Subtle differences among ensemble members—primarily variations in low-level moisture, exact wind speeds, and the timing of any partial clearing—account for the close probabilities between 15 °C and 16 °C, while 17 °C remains plausible if cloud cover proves thicker than expected. Historical September minima average lower, but the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal values, with resolution hinging on the final 00–06 UTC observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in London am 2. September?
16°C 53%
15°C 24%
17°C 22%
14°C 1.3%
10°C oder darunter
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
25%
16°C
53%
17°C
22%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 53%
15°C 24%
17°C 22%
14°C 1.3%
10°C oder darunter
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
25%
16°C
53%
17°C
22%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate mild overnight conditions for London on September 2 driven by a persistent southwesterly flow and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures in the 15–17 °C range. Official guidance from the Met Office and European models shows early-morning readings bottoming near 15–16 °C under light winds and high humidity, consistent with the current market distribution favoring those two outcomes. Subtle differences among ensemble members—primarily variations in low-level moisture, exact wind speeds, and the timing of any partial clearing—account for the close probabilities between 15 °C and 16 °C, while 17 °C remains plausible if cloud cover proves thicker than expected. Historical September minima average lower, but the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal values, with resolution hinging on the final 00–06 UTC observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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