**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range under the influence of the southwest monsoon (Habagat), with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting nighttime radiative cooling.** Persistent moist southwesterly flow and frequent precipitation maintain elevated dew points near 24–26°C, suppressing typical diurnal temperature drops in this tropical environment. Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble guidance show little deviation from climatological norms for late August, with no strong signals for anomalous cooling or heat retention. Market-implied odds favoring extremes above 31°C or below 21°C reflect uncertainty around exact observational timing or localized model spread, while mid-range probabilities align with the consensus minimum driven by these stable monsoon conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Manila am 25. August?
31°C oder höher 85%
21°C oder weniger 84%
28°C 51%
22°C 49%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
21°C oder weniger
84%
22°C
49%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
51%
29°C
23%
30°C
2%
31°C oder höher
85%
31°C oder höher 85%
21°C oder weniger 84%
28°C 51%
22°C 49%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
21°C oder weniger
$145 Vol.
84%
22°C
$5 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$5 Vol.
51%
29°C
$11 Vol.
23%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C oder höher
$145 Vol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range under the influence of the southwest monsoon (Habagat), with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting nighttime radiative cooling.**
Persistent moist southwesterly flow and frequent precipitation maintain elevated dew points near 24–26°C, suppressing typical diurnal temperature drops in this tropical environment. Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble guidance show little deviation from climatological norms for late August, with no strong signals for anomalous cooling or heat retention. Market-implied odds favoring extremes above 31°C or below 21°C reflect uncertainty around exact observational timing or localized model spread, while mid-range probabilities align with the consensus minimum driven by these stable monsoon conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$316Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range under the influence of the southwest monsoon (Habagat), with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting nighttime radiative cooling.**
Persistent moist southwesterly flow and frequent precipitation maintain elevated dew points near 24–26°C, suppressing typical diurnal temperature drops in this tropical environment. Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble guidance show little deviation from climatological norms for late August, with no strong signals for anomalous cooling or heat retention. Market-implied odds favoring extremes above 31°C or below 21°C reflect uncertainty around exact observational timing or localized model spread, while mid-range probabilities align with the consensus minimum driven by these stable monsoon conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$316Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila's minimum temperature on August 25 will likely fall in the 26–28°C range under the influence of the southwest monsoon (Habagat), with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting nighttime radiative cooling.** Persistent moist southwesterly flow and frequent precipitation maintain elevated dew points near 24–26°C, suppressing typical diurnal temperature drops in this tropical environment. Recent PAGASA outlooks and ensemble guidance show little deviation from climatological norms for late August, with no strong signals for anomalous cooling or heat retention. Market-implied odds favoring extremes above 31°C or below 21°C reflect uncertainty around exact observational timing or localized model spread, while mid-range probabilities align with the consensus minimum driven by these stable monsoon conditions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily low.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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