Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?

icon for Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?

Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

Sep. 4

Sep. 2

Sep. 3

Sep. 4

82-83°F 50%

78-79°F 41%

80-81°F 35%

76-77°F 17%

Polymarket
NEU

82-83°F 50%

78-79°F 41%

80-81°F 35%

76-77°F 17%

Polymarket
NEU

73°F oder darunter

$0 Vol.

14%

74-75°F

$0 Vol.

15%

76-77°F

$0 Vol.

17%

78-79°F

$0 Vol.

41%

80-81°F

$0 Vol.

35%

82-83°F

$0 Vol.

50%

84-85°F

$0 Vol.

17%

86-87°F

$0 Vol.

14%

88-89°F

$0 Vol.

13%

90-91 °F

$0 Vol.

15%

92°F oder höher

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position overnight lows near 80–81°F for Miami on September 4, supported by a persistent southeast flow off the Atlantic, elevated precipitable water values above 2 inches, and scattered convection that limits nocturnal cooling. Early September climatology in South Florida favors minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s under similar regimes, with recent runs showing little deviation from this pattern through the period. Traders appear to weigh these stable warm-moisture conditions most heavily, while assigning lower weight to outlier cooler scenarios that would require an unforecasted frontal passage or significant model shift before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position overnight lows near 80–81°F for Miami on September 4, supported by a persistent southeast flow off the Atlantic, elevated precipitable water values above 2 inches, and scattered convection that limits nocturnal cooling. Early September climatology in South Florida favors minimum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s under similar regimes, with recent runs showing little deviation from this pattern through the period. Traders appear to weigh these stable warm-moisture conditions most heavily, while assigning lower weight to outlier cooler scenarios that would require an unforecasted frontal passage or significant model shift before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Verwandte

icon for Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 3. September zwischen 78-79°F liegen?

Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 3. September zwischen 78-79°F liegen?

38%
Ja
icon for Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Miami am 4. September zwischen 90 und 91°F liegen?

Wird die Höchsttemperatur in Miami am 4. September zwischen 90 und 91°F liegen?

42%
Ja
icon for Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 2. September zwischen 76-77°F liegen?

Wird die niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 2. September zwischen 76-77°F liegen?

92%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „80-81°F" mit 35%, gefolgt von „82-83°F" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 35¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?" ist „80-81°F" mit 35%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 35% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „82-83°F" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 4. September?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.