Latest model guidance from GFS and regional forecasts points to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow keeping Moscow's overnight minimum near 11–13 °C on 17 September, with little risk of radiational cooling under the current high-pressure ridge. This consensus underpins the near parity between the 3 °C-or-below (39.0 %) and 13 °C-or-higher (38.5 %) outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow but non-zero chance of model shifts or localized cold pockets against the dominant warmer signal. Historical September lows average 7–8 °C, yet the present steering pattern and 50–70 % humidity limit further nocturnal drops. Updated runs tonight and early-morning observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 17. September?
13°C oder höher 94%
3°C oder darunter 85%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
3°C oder darunter
85%
4°C
16%
5°C
16%
6°C
21%
7°C
40%
8°C
24%
9°C
23%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
17%
13°C oder höher
94%
13°C oder höher 94%
3°C oder darunter 85%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
3°C oder darunter
85%
4°C
16%
5°C
16%
6°C
21%
7°C
40%
8°C
24%
9°C
23%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
17%
13°C oder höher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest model guidance from GFS and regional forecasts points to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow keeping Moscow's overnight minimum near 11–13 °C on 17 September, with little risk of radiational cooling under the current high-pressure ridge. This consensus underpins the near parity between the 3 °C-or-below (39.0 %) and 13 °C-or-higher (38.5 %) outcomes, as traders weigh the narrow but non-zero chance of model shifts or localized cold pockets against the dominant warmer signal. Historical September lows average 7–8 °C, yet the present steering pattern and 50–70 % humidity limit further nocturnal drops. Updated runs tonight and early-morning observations will be the next key inputs before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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