Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS points to a frontal system advecting cooler, moist southwesterly air into Moscow, with widespread showers and stronger winds on September 5 driving the closely matched market odds. This setup favors minimum temperatures near or below the 9.9 °C climatological average for the date, though variable cloud cover and timing of rainfall could limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep readings in the mid-teens. Official Hydrometeorological Center guidance and the next model cycles will refine the low’s exact placement ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Moskau am 5. September?
9°C oder darunter 95%
19°C oder höher 95%
10°C 50%
16°C 50%
9°C oder darunter
95%
10°C
50%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18 °C
50%
19°C oder höher
95%
9°C oder darunter 95%
19°C oder höher 95%
10°C 50%
16°C 50%
9°C oder darunter
95%
10°C
50%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18 °C
50%
19°C oder höher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS points to a frontal system advecting cooler, moist southwesterly air into Moscow, with widespread showers and stronger winds on September 5 driving the closely matched market odds. This setup favors minimum temperatures near or below the 9.9 °C climatological average for the date, though variable cloud cover and timing of rainfall could limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep readings in the mid-teens. Official Hydrometeorological Center guidance and the next model cycles will refine the low’s exact placement ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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