Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 25 will likely settle near 13–14°C as a weakening frontal boundary brings increased cloud cover, light rain, and modest westerly flow. These conditions limit clear-sky radiative cooling that has produced lower minima earlier in the month while preventing significant warm-air advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight around this range, with only modest downside risk from heavier showers or upside if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Trader positioning clustered on 12–14°C outcomes aligns with this consensus and historical late-August variability under similar synoptic setups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in München am 25. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in München am 25. August?
8°C or below 43%
18°C or higher 43%
12°C 31%
13°C 30%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
43%
9°C
9%
10°C
11%
11°C
16%
12°C
31%
13°C
30%
14°C
25%
15°C
12%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
43%
8°C or below 43%
18°C or higher 43%
12°C 31%
13°C 30%
NEU
NEU
25. Aug. 2026
8°C or below
$140 Vol.
43%
9°C
$0 Vol.
9%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$0 Vol.
16%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$140 Vol.
8%
18°C or higher
$140 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 25 will likely settle near 13–14°C as a weakening frontal boundary brings increased cloud cover, light rain, and modest westerly flow. These conditions limit clear-sky radiative cooling that has produced lower minima earlier in the month while preventing significant warm-air advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight around this range, with only modest downside risk from heavier showers or upside if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Trader positioning clustered on 12–14°C outcomes aligns with this consensus and historical late-August variability under similar synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$425Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 25 will likely settle near 13–14°C as a weakening frontal boundary brings increased cloud cover, light rain, and modest westerly flow. These conditions limit clear-sky radiative cooling that has produced lower minima earlier in the month while preventing significant warm-air advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight around this range, with only modest downside risk from heavier showers or upside if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Trader positioning clustered on 12–14°C outcomes aligns with this consensus and historical late-August variability under similar synoptic setups.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$425Enddatum
25. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate overnight lows in Munich on August 25 will likely settle near 13–14°C as a weakening frontal boundary brings increased cloud cover, light rain, and modest westerly flow. These conditions limit clear-sky radiative cooling that has produced lower minima earlier in the month while preventing significant warm-air advection. Ensemble spreads remain tight around this range, with only modest downside risk from heavier showers or upside if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Trader positioning clustered on 12–14°C outcomes aligns with this consensus and historical late-August variability under similar synoptic setups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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