Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C for Shenzhen’s September 21 low because subtropical autumn conditions produce modest diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. Nighttime radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity and the urban heat island effect, while light southeasterly flow limits advective cooling from northern fronts. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with the main uncertainty arising from possible thin cloud cover or brief showers that could trim the overnight minimum by 1–2°C versus clearer skies. These factors keep implied probabilities nearly even across the 22–26°C band, consistent with climatological September minima near 24°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 21. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 21. September?
24°C 100%
22°C oder darunter 99%
23°C 90%
25°C 50%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
99%
23°C
90%
24°C
100%
25°C
50%
26°C
50%
27°C
42%
28°C
48%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 100%
22°C oder darunter 99%
23°C 90%
25°C 50%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
99%
23°C
$5 Vol.
90%
24°C
$5 Vol.
100%
25°C
$0 Vol.
50%
26°C
$30 Vol.
50%
27°C
$20 Vol.
42%
28°C
$10 Vol.
48%
29°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C for Shenzhen’s September 21 low because subtropical autumn conditions produce modest diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. Nighttime radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity and the urban heat island effect, while light southeasterly flow limits advective cooling from northern fronts. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with the main uncertainty arising from possible thin cloud cover or brief showers that could trim the overnight minimum by 1–2°C versus clearer skies. These factors keep implied probabilities nearly even across the 22–26°C band, consistent with climatological September minima near 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$164Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C for Shenzhen’s September 21 low because subtropical autumn conditions produce modest diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. Nighttime radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity and the urban heat island effect, while light southeasterly flow limits advective cooling from northern fronts. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with the main uncertainty arising from possible thin cloud cover or brief showers that could trim the overnight minimum by 1–2°C versus clearer skies. These factors keep implied probabilities nearly even across the 22–26°C band, consistent with climatological September minima near 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$164Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–25°C for Shenzhen’s September 21 low because subtropical autumn conditions produce modest diurnal ranges of 5–8°C under a stable high-pressure ridge. Nighttime radiative cooling is moderated by high humidity and the urban heat island effect, while light southeasterly flow limits advective cooling from northern fronts. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread in boundary-layer temperatures, with the main uncertainty arising from possible thin cloud cover or brief showers that could trim the overnight minimum by 1–2°C versus clearer skies. These factors keep implied probabilities nearly even across the 22–26°C band, consistent with climatological September minima near 24°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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