Traders have heavily favored the 23°C outcome at over 84% implied probability because official station observations from Tel Aviv on September 20 recorded a daily minimum right at that level under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. Typical late-September Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs near 28–30°C and minimal cloud cover, supported overnight radiative cooling to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius rather than cooler anomalies seen earlier in the month. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local forecasts showed little deviation from climatological norms of 21–24°C lows, limiting upside for lower bins such as 22°C or 21°C despite their secondary pricing. With resolution now tied to verified meteorological data, further shifts hinge on any post-event adjustments to station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 20. September?
23°C 97.2%
18°C oder weniger 34%
21°C 33%
20°C 20%
$6,664 Vol.
$6,664 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
18°C oder weniger
34%
19°C
18%
20°C
20%
21°C
33%
22°C
-
23°C
84%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C oder höher
<1%
23°C 97.2%
18°C oder weniger 34%
21°C 33%
20°C 20%
$6,664 Vol.
$6,664 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
18°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
34%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$170 Vol.
20%
21°C
$15 Vol.
33%
22°C
$329 Vol.
-
23°C
$5,942 Vol.
84%
24°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
28°C oder höher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have heavily favored the 23°C outcome at over 84% implied probability because official station observations from Tel Aviv on September 20 recorded a daily minimum right at that level under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. Typical late-September Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs near 28–30°C and minimal cloud cover, supported overnight radiative cooling to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius rather than cooler anomalies seen earlier in the month. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local forecasts showed little deviation from climatological norms of 21–24°C lows, limiting upside for lower bins such as 22°C or 21°C despite their secondary pricing. With resolution now tied to verified meteorological data, further shifts hinge on any post-event adjustments to station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$6,664Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have heavily favored the 23°C outcome at over 84% implied probability because official station observations from Tel Aviv on September 20 recorded a daily minimum right at that level under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. Typical late-September Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs near 28–30°C and minimal cloud cover, supported overnight radiative cooling to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius rather than cooler anomalies seen earlier in the month. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local forecasts showed little deviation from climatological norms of 21–24°C lows, limiting upside for lower bins such as 22°C or 21°C despite their secondary pricing. With resolution now tied to verified meteorological data, further shifts hinge on any post-event adjustments to station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,664Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Traders have heavily favored the 23°C outcome at over 84% implied probability because official station observations from Tel Aviv on September 20 recorded a daily minimum right at that level under clear skies and light southeasterly winds. Typical late-September Mediterranean conditions, with daytime highs near 28–30°C and minimal cloud cover, supported overnight radiative cooling to the low-to-mid 20s Celsius rather than cooler anomalies seen earlier in the month. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and local forecasts showed little deviation from climatological norms of 21–24°C lows, limiting upside for lower bins such as 22°C or 21°C despite their secondary pricing. With resolution now tied to verified meteorological data, further shifts hinge on any post-event adjustments to station readings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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