Persistent rainfall and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region are moderating overnight temperatures in Tokyo on September 16, with official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS models converging on a minimum near 19–21°C amid high humidity, heavy cloud cover, and steady precipitation. These conditions suppress both radiational cooling and daytime heating, producing a narrow temperature range consistent with historical September baselines under similar synoptic setups. Latest model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s emphasis on 19°C and 20°C as leading outcomes while leaving limited room for outliers below 18°C or above 21°C absent unexpected forecast shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 16. September?
18°C 47%
21°C 42%
20°C 38%
17°C 11%
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
11%
18°C
47%
19°C
42%
20°C
53%
21°C
26%
22°C
20%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
18°C 47%
21°C 42%
20°C 38%
17°C 11%
16°C oder darunter
<1%
17°C
11%
18°C
47%
19°C
42%
20°C
53%
21°C
26%
22°C
20%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rainfall and northeasterly flow across the Kanto region are moderating overnight temperatures in Tokyo on September 16, with official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and GFS models converging on a minimum near 19–21°C amid high humidity, heavy cloud cover, and steady precipitation. These conditions suppress both radiational cooling and daytime heating, producing a narrow temperature range consistent with historical September baselines under similar synoptic setups. Latest model runs show minimal spread, supporting the market’s emphasis on 19°C and 20°C as leading outcomes while leaving limited room for outliers below 18°C or above 21°C absent unexpected forecast shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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