Latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 19 will likely settle near 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clear-sky scenarios, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21°C and 22°C. High humidity near 85–90% further moderates temperature drops, while historical September averages hover near 19°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential brief clear spells that could allow slightly lower readings. Official Tokyo station observations at the end of the 24-hour period will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 19. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Tokio am 19. September?
21°C 42%
22°C 38%
20°C 23%
19°C 5%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
5%
20°C
23%
21°C
42%
22°C
38%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C oder höher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 38%
20°C 23%
19°C 5%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
16°C oder weniger
$51 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$577 Vol.
23%
21°C
$343 Vol.
42%
22°C
$1,869 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
3%
25°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
26°C oder höher
$51 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 19 will likely settle near 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clear-sky scenarios, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21°C and 22°C. High humidity near 85–90% further moderates temperature drops, while historical September averages hover near 19°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential brief clear spells that could allow slightly lower readings. Official Tokyo station observations at the end of the 24-hour period will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,993Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 19 will likely settle near 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clear-sky scenarios, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21°C and 22°C. High humidity near 85–90% further moderates temperature drops, while historical September averages hover near 19°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential brief clear spells that could allow slightly lower readings. Official Tokyo station observations at the end of the 24-hour period will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,993Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate Tokyo's overnight minimum on September 19 will likely settle near 20–22°C amid persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered showers. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared with clear-sky scenarios, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21°C and 22°C. High humidity near 85–90% further moderates temperature drops, while historical September averages hover near 19°C. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against potential brief clear spells that could allow slightly lower readings. Official Tokyo station observations at the end of the 24-hour period will determine resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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