**Model divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for São Paulo on September 19 drives the near-even split between 11°C-or-below (50%) and 21°C-or-higher (49%) outcomes.** Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have produced overnight lows in the 11–16°C range, with current forecasts from multiple sources pointing to minima around 13–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and any subtle frontal influences that could either enhance or suppress the overnight drop. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms for mid-September, where typical lows sit near 14–16°C, while awaiting updated model runs and real-time observations that could shift the distribution before the calendar day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 19. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 19. September?
11°C oder darunter 100%
21°C oder höher 98%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
11°C oder darunter
100%
12°C
14%
13°C
36%
14°C
35%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
17%
20°C
17%
21°C oder höher
98%
11°C oder darunter 100%
21°C oder höher 98%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
11°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
100%
12°C
$0 Vol.
14%
13°C
$0 Vol.
36%
14°C
$0 Vol.
35%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
36%
18°C
$0 Vol.
36%
19°C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
17%
21°C oder höher
$100 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for São Paulo on September 19 drives the near-even split between 11°C-or-below (50%) and 21°C-or-higher (49%) outcomes.** Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have produced overnight lows in the 11–16°C range, with current forecasts from multiple sources pointing to minima around 13–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and any subtle frontal influences that could either enhance or suppress the overnight drop. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms for mid-September, where typical lows sit near 14–16°C, while awaiting updated model runs and real-time observations that could shift the distribution before the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volumen
$100Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for São Paulo on September 19 drives the near-even split between 11°C-or-below (50%) and 21°C-or-higher (49%) outcomes.** Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have produced overnight lows in the 11–16°C range, with current forecasts from multiple sources pointing to minima around 13–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and any subtle frontal influences that could either enhance or suppress the overnight drop. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms for mid-September, where typical lows sit near 14–16°C, while awaiting updated model runs and real-time observations that could shift the distribution before the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$100Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:28 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Model divergence in overnight minimum temperatures for São Paulo on September 19 drives the near-even split between 11°C-or-below (50%) and 21°C-or-higher (49%) outcomes.** Recent cooler-than-average September conditions have produced overnight lows in the 11–16°C range, with current forecasts from multiple sources pointing to minima around 13–18°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Key differentiating factors include the degree of cloud cover affecting radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and any subtle frontal influences that could either enhance or suppress the overnight drop. Traders weigh these variables against climatological norms for mid-September, where typical lows sit near 14–16°C, while awaiting updated model runs and real-time observations that could shift the distribution before the calendar day concludes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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