Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City highs on September 19 are most likely to reach 24–26°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with scattered cloud cover, light winds, and a 30–70% chance of showers that limit afternoon heating. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C or 26°C+, reflecting the consensus from updated runs showing modest instability rather than clear skies or strong ridging. Historical September maxima average near 24°C, and current observational trends plus short-range guidance suggest limited deviation unless drier air arrives or convection suppresses earlier than expected. Updated model outputs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 19. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 19. September?
25°C 44%
26°C oder höher 29%
24°C 22%
23°C 8%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
16 °C oder niedriger
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
22%
25°C
44%
26°C oder höher
29%
25°C 44%
26°C oder höher 29%
24°C 22%
23°C 8%
NEU
NEU
19. Sep. 2026
16 °C oder niedriger
$31 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$184 Vol.
6%
23°C
$31 Vol.
8%
24°C
$42 Vol.
22%
25°C
$46 Vol.
44%
26°C oder höher
$241 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City highs on September 19 are most likely to reach 24–26°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with scattered cloud cover, light winds, and a 30–70% chance of showers that limit afternoon heating. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C or 26°C+, reflecting the consensus from updated runs showing modest instability rather than clear skies or strong ridging. Historical September maxima average near 24°C, and current observational trends plus short-range guidance suggest limited deviation unless drier air arrives or convection suppresses earlier than expected. Updated model outputs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$671Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City highs on September 19 are most likely to reach 24–26°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with scattered cloud cover, light winds, and a 30–70% chance of showers that limit afternoon heating. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C or 26°C+, reflecting the consensus from updated runs showing modest instability rather than clear skies or strong ridging. Historical September maxima average near 24°C, and current observational trends plus short-range guidance suggest limited deviation unless drier air arrives or convection suppresses earlier than expected. Updated model outputs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$671Enddatum
19. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 17, 2026, 8:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Mexico City highs on September 19 are most likely to reach 24–26°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with scattered cloud cover, light winds, and a 30–70% chance of showers that limit afternoon heating. This range aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C or 26°C+, reflecting the consensus from updated runs showing modest instability rather than clear skies or strong ridging. Historical September maxima average near 24°C, and current observational trends plus short-range guidance suggest limited deviation unless drier air arrives or convection suppresses earlier than expected. Updated model outputs and official agency briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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