Recent forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and local meteorological guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a mild maritime air mass, positioning the daily minimum near 15–16 °C and driving the 45 % and 34 % market-implied probabilities for those exact values. Seasonal climatology for late August in Warsaw shows average lows of 12–14 °C, but persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow have limited nocturnal temperature drops below this range over the past 48 hours. Official station data from Warsaw Okęcie will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is recorded, with any late-evening clearing potentially allowing brief further cooling toward 14 °C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model spread in boundary-layer moisture and the narrow historical variability for this date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 21. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Warschau am 21. August?
15°C 34%
14°C 30%
13°C 2%
12°C oder darunter <1%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
30%
15°C
34%
16°C
45%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 34%
14°C 30%
13°C 2%
12°C oder darunter <1%
NEU
NEU
21. Aug. 2026
12°C oder darunter
$100 Vol.
1%
13°C
$119 Vol.
2%
14°C
$75 Vol.
30%
15°C
$0 Vol.
34%
16°C
$26 Vol.
45%
17°C
$1,970 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
22°C oder höher
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and local meteorological guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a mild maritime air mass, positioning the daily minimum near 15–16 °C and driving the 45 % and 34 % market-implied probabilities for those exact values. Seasonal climatology for late August in Warsaw shows average lows of 12–14 °C, but persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow have limited nocturnal temperature drops below this range over the past 48 hours. Official station data from Warsaw Okęcie will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is recorded, with any late-evening clearing potentially allowing brief further cooling toward 14 °C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model spread in boundary-layer moisture and the narrow historical variability for this date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Volumen
$2,990Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and local meteorological guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a mild maritime air mass, positioning the daily minimum near 15–16 °C and driving the 45 % and 34 % market-implied probabilities for those exact values. Seasonal climatology for late August in Warsaw shows average lows of 12–14 °C, but persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow have limited nocturnal temperature drops below this range over the past 48 hours. Official station data from Warsaw Okęcie will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is recorded, with any late-evening clearing potentially allowing brief further cooling toward 14 °C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model spread in boundary-layer moisture and the narrow historical variability for this date.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,990Enddatum
21. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and local meteorological guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a mild maritime air mass, positioning the daily minimum near 15–16 °C and driving the 45 % and 34 % market-implied probabilities for those exact values. Seasonal climatology for late August in Warsaw shows average lows of 12–14 °C, but persistent cloud cover and light southerly flow have limited nocturnal temperature drops below this range over the past 48 hours. Official station data from Warsaw Okęcie will resolve the market once the 24-hour minimum is recorded, with any late-evening clearing potentially allowing brief further cooling toward 14 °C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between model spread in boundary-layer moisture and the narrow historical variability for this date.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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