Recent U.S. economic releases have kept market-implied odds for the May monthly inflation rate closely split between 0.5% and 0.6%, each backed by roughly one-third probability. Resilient consumer spending and steady wage growth continue to support modest price pressures, while declining energy costs and slower shelter inflation have capped upside risks. The latest producer price index aligned with consensus forecasts, offering little new directional signal. Traders are now monitoring upcoming retail sales data and any shifts in Federal Reserve communications that could refine the inflation path ahead of the May CPI release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 13%
0.2% 9%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
13%
0.5%
35%
0.6%
40%
0.7%
13%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
7%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 13%
0.2% 9%
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
13%
0.5%
35%
0.6%
40%
0.7%
13%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
7%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. economic releases have kept market-implied odds for the May monthly inflation rate closely split between 0.5% and 0.6%, each backed by roughly one-third probability. Resilient consumer spending and steady wage growth continue to support modest price pressures, while declining energy costs and slower shelter inflation have capped upside risks. The latest producer price index aligned with consensus forecasts, offering little new directional signal. Traders are now monitoring upcoming retail sales data and any shifts in Federal Reserve communications that could refine the inflation path ahead of the May CPI release.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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