**Nawaf Salam was designated Lebanon’s prime minister in January 2025 after securing majority parliamentary backing and forming a 24-minister cabinet under President Joseph Aoun.** He has since prioritized state authority, reform, and post-conflict stabilization, including a March 2026 ban on Hezbollah’s military activities, restrictions on foreign armed groups, and active diplomacy with the United States to secure a timetable for Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon. These steps followed regional escalations tied to Iran-related strikes and Hezbollah actions, reinforcing Salam’s role in asserting central government control. Parliamentary elections scheduled for 2026 are expected to shape the next government formation, but current consensus shows no imminent confidence crisis, resignation signals, or successful opposition moves to remove him before year-end. Trader pricing of 89.5% against an exit reflects his sustained mandate, recent policy initiatives, and the absence of acute political triggers for turnover within the resolution window.