The NY-7 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25 and consistent historical margins, underpins the 95.5% Democratic consensus. Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the seat, but Claire Valdez's decisive June 2026 primary victory over Antonio Reynoso consolidated support in progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods including Williamsburg, Bushwick, and Long Island City. Independent and Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, nominee health issue, or unprecedented national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-07 Wahlsieger
NY-07 Wahlsieger
$29,856 Vol.
$29,856 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
96%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$29,856 Vol.
$29,856 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$15,452 Vol.
96%
Republikanische Partei
$14,404 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-7 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25 and consistent historical margins, underpins the 95.5% Democratic consensus. Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the seat, but Claire Valdez's decisive June 2026 primary victory over Antonio Reynoso consolidated support in progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods including Williamsburg, Bushwick, and Long Island City. Independent and Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, nominee health issue, or unprecedented national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$29,856Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-7 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25 and consistent historical margins, underpins the 95.5% Democratic consensus. Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the seat, but Claire Valdez's decisive June 2026 primary victory over Antonio Reynoso consolidated support in progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods including Williamsburg, Bushwick, and Long Island City. Independent and Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, nominee health issue, or unprecedented national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$29,856Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-7 district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+25 and consistent historical margins, underpins the 95.5% Democratic consensus. Nydia Velázquez's retirement opened the seat, but Claire Valdez's decisive June 2026 primary victory over Antonio Reynoso consolidated support in progressive Brooklyn and Queens neighborhoods including Williamsburg, Bushwick, and Long Island City. Independent and Republican nominee Melvin Rivera faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, nominee health issue, or unprecedented national Republican surge could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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