Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote produced a fragmented field in which Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share at 17.18 percent, establishing a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez. Final tallies released in mid-May by electoral authorities confirmed this outcome after weeks of delays from logistical shortfalls and disputed ballots. Fujimori's lead reflects her party's congressional influence, consistent polling strength among conservative voters, and the absence of a unified challenger. Official results leave little room for reversal unless extraordinary legal challenges alter the certified percentages before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPeru Präsidentschaftswahl erste Runde: Marge des Sieges
Keiko Fujimori 5%+ 99.6%
Sonstiges <1%
Keiko Fujimori <5% <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+ <1%
$521,773 Vol.
$521,773 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 15%+
<1%

Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
<1%

Rafael López Aliaga 5–10 %
<1%

Rafael López Aliaga <5%
<1%

Alfonso López Chau 5%+
<1%

Alfonso López Chau <5%
<1%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+
100%

Keiko Fujimori <5%
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

Sonstiges
1%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+ 99.6%
Sonstiges <1%
Keiko Fujimori <5% <1%
Rafael López Aliaga 15%+ <1%
$521,773 Vol.
$521,773 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 15%+
<1%

Rafael López Aliaga 10-15%
<1%

Rafael López Aliaga 5–10 %
<1%

Rafael López Aliaga <5%
<1%

Alfonso López Chau 5%+
<1%

Alfonso López Chau <5%
<1%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+
100%

Keiko Fujimori <5%
<1%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

Sonstiges
1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Peru's April 12 first-round presidential vote produced a fragmented field in which Keiko Fujimori secured the largest share at 17.18 percent, establishing a margin exceeding five points over second-place finisher Roberto Sánchez. Final tallies released in mid-May by electoral authorities confirmed this outcome after weeks of delays from logistical shortfalls and disputed ballots. Fujimori's lead reflects her party's congressional influence, consistent polling strength among conservative voters, and the absence of a unified challenger. Official results leave little room for reversal unless extraordinary legal challenges alter the certified percentages before market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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