Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight contest for the October 2026 election, with both hovering near 30 percent support in April and May surveys. The PQ maintains a clear edge among francophone voters, a decisive bloc across most ridings, while the Liberals trail sharply in that demographic. Under new leader Christine Fréchette, the CAQ has posted modest gains but remains in third place. Recent PQ victories in by-elections have reinforced its momentum. Traders view these dynamics as favoring the PQ to secure the most seats in the National Assembly, though the race remains competitive with limited time before the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertGewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.

PQ
59%

PLQ
30%

CAQ
10%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 30%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,101 Vol.
$505,101 Vol.

PQ
59%

PLQ
30%

CAQ
10%

PCQ
1%

PVQ
<1%

QS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party locked in a tight contest for the October 2026 election, with both hovering near 30 percent support in April and May surveys. The PQ maintains a clear edge among francophone voters, a decisive bloc across most ridings, while the Liberals trail sharply in that demographic. Under new leader Christine Fréchette, the CAQ has posted modest gains but remains in third place. Recent PQ victories in by-elections have reinforced its momentum. Traders view these dynamics as favoring the PQ to secure the most seats in the National Assembly, though the race remains competitive with limited time before the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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