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Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger

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Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 17.1%

Gerry Hutch 4.8%

Ray McAdam 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,067,851 Vol.

Daniel Ennis 76%

Janice Boylan 17.1%

Gerry Hutch 4.8%

Ray McAdam 1.7%

Polymarket

$1,067,851 Vol.

Daniel Ennis

$29,821 Vol.

76%

Janice Boylan

$16,729 Vol.

17%

Gerry Hutch

$503,040 Vol.

5%

Ray McAdam

$33,252 Vol.

2%

Janet Horner

$11,268 Vol.

1%

Gillian Sherratt

$181,905 Vol.

1%

Malachy Steenson

$19,915 Vol.

1%

Ian Noel Smyth

$12,683 Vol.

<1%

Mary Fitzpatrick

$44,400 Vol.

<1%

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin

$52,694 Vol.

<1%

Séamas McGrattan

$8,623 Vol.

<1%

John Stephens

$153,521 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis commands trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, reflecting his strong local profile from prior work with TD Gary Gannon and 2024 city council election, alongside bookmaker odds favoring him at 2/5 amid cost-of-living campaign pitches. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan trails at 17%, buoyed by opposition momentum but tested in a constituency where transfers under PR-STV will prove decisive; candidates report immigration rarely raised on doorsteps. Independent Gerry Hutch holds 4% despite name recognition, hindered by criminal history, while Fine Gael's Ray McAdam lags at 2% defending the seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe. Recent controversies like Bertie Ahern's off-mic immigration remarks and Ennis's past business links have not shifted odds significantly with eight days remaining.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$1,067,851
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Social Democrats councillor Daniel Ennis commands trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win the Dublin Central Dáil by-election on May 22, reflecting his strong local profile from prior work with TD Gary Gannon and 2024 city council election, alongside bookmaker odds favoring him at 2/5 amid cost-of-living campaign pitches. Sinn Féin's Janice Boylan trails at 17%, buoyed by opposition momentum but tested in a constituency where transfers under PR-STV will prove decisive; candidates report immigration rarely raised on doorsteps. Independent Gerry Hutch holds 4% despite name recognition, hindered by criminal history, while Fine Gael's Ray McAdam lags at 2% defending the seat vacated by Paschal Donohoe. Recent controversies like Bertie Ahern's off-mic immigration remarks and Ennis's past business links have not shifted odds significantly with eight days remaining.

A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Volumen
$1,067,851
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 12 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Daniel Ennis" mit 76%, gefolgt von „Janice Boylan" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 76¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.1 million generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 20, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 12 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" ist „Daniel Ennis" mit 76%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 76% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Janice Boylan" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Dublin-Central-By-Election-Sieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.