Recent polls from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM place United Russia well ahead, with LDPR, KPRF, New People, and A Just Russia–For Truth clustered in single digits for the remaining seats after the 5% threshold. New People has shown gains in some surveys by emphasizing domestic business issues and measured criticism of restrictions, while LDPR draws on established nationalist branding and KPRF maintains its traditional base. The August Supreme Court removal of Yabloko from the ballot, following a Rodina challenge, redirected potential protest votes and narrowed visible options. Limited candidate registration across single-member districts and heavy reliance on electronic voting in multiple regions add uncertainty to final rankings. Traders price LDPR and New People near even odds for fourth because small shifts in turnout or regional results could reorder them ahead of A Just Russia or smaller lists. Upcoming campaign events and any adjustments in state media coverage of the smaller parties remain the main variables that could widen the gap before the September 18–20 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNeue Leute (NL) 47%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 47%
Bürgerplattform (GP) 19%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) 17%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
Neue Leute (NL)
47%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
47%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
19%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
17%
Rodina
14%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
6%
Einiges Russland (ER)
1%
Neue Leute (NL) 47%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 47%
Bürgerplattform (GP) 19%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP) 17%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
Neue Leute (NL)
$0 Vol.
47%
Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)
$13 Vol.
47%
Bürgerplattform (GP)
$28 Vol.
19%
Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)
$20 Vol.
17%
Rodina
$43 Vol.
14%
Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)
$40 Vol.
6%
Einiges Russland (ER)
$136 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polls from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM place United Russia well ahead, with LDPR, KPRF, New People, and A Just Russia–For Truth clustered in single digits for the remaining seats after the 5% threshold. New People has shown gains in some surveys by emphasizing domestic business issues and measured criticism of restrictions, while LDPR draws on established nationalist branding and KPRF maintains its traditional base. The August Supreme Court removal of Yabloko from the ballot, following a Rodina challenge, redirected potential protest votes and narrowed visible options. Limited candidate registration across single-member districts and heavy reliance on electronic voting in multiple regions add uncertainty to final rankings. Traders price LDPR and New People near even odds for fourth because small shifts in turnout or regional results could reorder them ahead of A Just Russia or smaller lists. Upcoming campaign events and any adjustments in state media coverage of the smaller parties remain the main variables that could widen the gap before the September 18–20 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Volumen
$279Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polls from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM place United Russia well ahead, with LDPR, KPRF, New People, and A Just Russia–For Truth clustered in single digits for the remaining seats after the 5% threshold. New People has shown gains in some surveys by emphasizing domestic business issues and measured criticism of restrictions, while LDPR draws on established nationalist branding and KPRF maintains its traditional base. The August Supreme Court removal of Yabloko from the ballot, following a Rodina challenge, redirected potential protest votes and narrowed visible options. Limited candidate registration across single-member districts and heavy reliance on electronic voting in multiple regions add uncertainty to final rankings. Traders price LDPR and New People near even odds for fourth because small shifts in turnout or regional results could reorder them ahead of A Just Russia or smaller lists. Upcoming campaign events and any adjustments in state media coverage of the smaller parties remain the main variables that could widen the gap before the September 18–20 vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volumen
$279Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from state-affiliated firms such as FOM and WCIOM place United Russia well ahead, with LDPR, KPRF, New People, and A Just Russia–For Truth clustered in single digits for the remaining seats after the 5% threshold. New People has shown gains in some surveys by emphasizing domestic business issues and measured criticism of restrictions, while LDPR draws on established nationalist branding and KPRF maintains its traditional base. The August Supreme Court removal of Yabloko from the ballot, following a Rodina challenge, redirected potential protest votes and narrowed visible options. Limited candidate registration across single-member districts and heavy reliance on electronic voting in multiple regions add uncertainty to final rankings. Traders price LDPR and New People near even odds for fourth because small shifts in turnout or regional results could reorder them ahead of A Just Russia or smaller lists. Upcoming campaign events and any adjustments in state media coverage of the smaller parties remain the main variables that could widen the gap before the September 18–20 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
48%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
Wird Einiges Russland (ER) die meisten Sitze bei der nächsten russischen Parlamentswahl gewinnen?
99%
Ja
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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