Incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a commanding lead in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary, set for June 9, reflecting his established position within the state party, President Trump’s endorsement, and a substantial fundraising edge over challengers. Recent polling shows Graham well above 50 percent, positioning him to avoid a runoff, while Mark Lynch trails as the most visible opponent amid a fragmented field. Paul Dans suspended his campaign earlier this spring, further consolidating support around the senator. Traders price the outcome at these levels because historical patterns favor well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major candidate missteps could still narrow the margin before ballots are cast.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLindsey Graham 94%
Mark Lynch 5.5%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$144,749 Vol.
$144,749 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
94%
Mark Lynch
6%
Paul Dans
<1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
Lindsey Graham 94%
Mark Lynch 5.5%
Paul Dans <1%
Thomas Murphy <1%
$144,749 Vol.
$144,749 Vol.
Lindsey Graham
94%
Mark Lynch
6%
Paul Dans
<1%
Thomas Murphy
<1%
If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2025, 3:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Lindsey Graham holds a commanding lead in the South Carolina Republican Senate primary, set for June 9, reflecting his established position within the state party, President Trump’s endorsement, and a substantial fundraising edge over challengers. Recent polling shows Graham well above 50 percent, positioning him to avoid a runoff, while Mark Lynch trails as the most visible opponent amid a fragmented field. Paul Dans suspended his campaign earlier this spring, further consolidating support around the senator. Traders price the outcome at these levels because historical patterns favor well-funded incumbents in low-turnout primaries, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or major candidate missteps could still narrow the margin before ballots are cast.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen