PP maintains a commanding position in Balearic Islands projections for Spain’s November 29 general election, driven by consistent national polling leads of roughly five points over PSOE and stronger regional trends. Recent surveys allocate the PP four of the eight congressional seats, reflecting gains from 2023 results and local strength under regional leadership. A late-October PP-Vox Senate pact in the islands consolidates right-leaning votes without splitting the ticket, further supporting the frontrunner. PSOE trails in second while smaller parties including Vox, Frente Amplio, and Podemos register lower implied probabilities amid fragmented left support. Trader consensus aligns with these patterns, where the PP’s margin in battleground constituencies like the Balearics has widened in the final month before voting.