US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on military infrastructure and capturing President Nicolás Maduro in a raid that prompted his transfer to the United States for criminal charges, marking the initial intervention after months of buildup including carrier deployments. Since then, no verified reports of renewed US ground troop entries have emerged, with trader consensus favoring diplomatic stabilization over escalation. In late April, over 100 US diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors arrived to support elections and transition under interim Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, alongside $2 billion oil deals elevating Venezuela as a top US supplier. Upcoming elections amid chavismo resistance represent the key risk for potential military reengagement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$1,298,246 Vol.
31. Jan. 2026
30. Juni
6%
$1,298,246 Vol.
30. Juni
$213,483 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on military infrastructure and capturing President Nicolás Maduro in a raid that prompted his transfer to the United States for criminal charges, marking the initial intervention after months of buildup including carrier deployments. Since then, no verified reports of renewed US ground troop entries have emerged, with trader consensus favoring diplomatic stabilization over escalation. In late April, over 100 US diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors arrived to support elections and transition under interim Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, alongside $2 billion oil deals elevating Venezuela as a top US supplier. Upcoming elections amid chavismo resistance represent the key risk for potential military reengagement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volumen
$1,298,246Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on military infrastructure and capturing President Nicolás Maduro in a raid that prompted his transfer to the United States for criminal charges, marking the initial intervention after months of buildup including carrier deployments. Since then, no verified reports of renewed US ground troop entries have emerged, with trader consensus favoring diplomatic stabilization over escalation. In late April, over 100 US diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors arrived to support elections and transition under interim Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, alongside $2 billion oil deals elevating Venezuela as a top US supplier. Upcoming elections amid chavismo resistance represent the key risk for potential military reengagement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,298,246Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on military infrastructure and capturing President Nicolás Maduro in a raid that prompted his transfer to the United States for criminal charges, marking the initial intervention after months of buildup including carrier deployments. Since then, no verified reports of renewed US ground troop entries have emerged, with trader consensus favoring diplomatic stabilization over escalation. In late April, over 100 US diplomats, CIA agents, and military advisors arrived to support elections and transition under interim Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, alongside $2 billion oil deals elevating Venezuela as a top US supplier. Upcoming elections amid chavismo resistance represent the key risk for potential military reengagement.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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