Recent U.S.-China trade relations center on extensions of prior tariff suspensions and purchase commitments from 2025 summits, with heightened reciprocal rates paused until November 2026 under existing executive actions. The May 2026 Trump-Xi meeting produced sectoral understandings on agricultural purchases, rare earth access, and new bilateral boards for ongoing management, but no framework for a comprehensive new tariff pact. No high-level negotiations or announcements are scheduled before June 30, and working-level talks have not advanced toward a formal mutual agreement meeting the market's resolution criteria. Traders therefore price a very low likelihood of resolution in the remaining window, consistent with the pattern of incremental, time-bound truces rather than broad new deals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$26,097 Vol.
$26,097 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
$26,097 Vol.
$26,097 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade relations center on extensions of prior tariff suspensions and purchase commitments from 2025 summits, with heightened reciprocal rates paused until November 2026 under existing executive actions. The May 2026 Trump-Xi meeting produced sectoral understandings on agricultural purchases, rare earth access, and new bilateral boards for ongoing management, but no framework for a comprehensive new tariff pact. No high-level negotiations or announcements are scheduled before June 30, and working-level talks have not advanced toward a formal mutual agreement meeting the market's resolution criteria. Traders therefore price a very low likelihood of resolution in the remaining window, consistent with the pattern of incremental, time-bound truces rather than broad new deals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volumen
$26,097Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade relations center on extensions of prior tariff suspensions and purchase commitments from 2025 summits, with heightened reciprocal rates paused until November 2026 under existing executive actions. The May 2026 Trump-Xi meeting produced sectoral understandings on agricultural purchases, rare earth access, and new bilateral boards for ongoing management, but no framework for a comprehensive new tariff pact. No high-level negotiations or announcements are scheduled before June 30, and working-level talks have not advanced toward a formal mutual agreement meeting the market's resolution criteria. Traders therefore price a very low likelihood of resolution in the remaining window, consistent with the pattern of incremental, time-bound truces rather than broad new deals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$26,097Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China trade relations center on extensions of prior tariff suspensions and purchase commitments from 2025 summits, with heightened reciprocal rates paused until November 2026 under existing executive actions. The May 2026 Trump-Xi meeting produced sectoral understandings on agricultural purchases, rare earth access, and new bilateral boards for ongoing management, but no framework for a comprehensive new tariff pact. No high-level negotiations or announcements are scheduled before June 30, and working-level talks have not advanced toward a formal mutual agreement meeting the market's resolution criteria. Traders therefore price a very low likelihood of resolution in the remaining window, consistent with the pattern of incremental, time-bound truces rather than broad new deals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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