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icon for What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?

<344k 89%

345 - 347k 11%

351 - 353k 9%

>353k 9%

Polymarket
NEU

<344k 89%

345 - 347k 11%

351 - 353k 9%

>353k 9%

Polymarket
NEU

<344k

$329 Vol.

80%

344 - 345k

$20 Vol.

9%

345 - 347k

$20 Vol.

11%

347 - 348k

$20 Vol.

6%

348 - 349k

$20 Vol.

6%

349 - 351k

$20 Vol.

6%

351 - 353k

$20 Vol.

9%

>353k

$20 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)Trader sentiment for Chicago's median home value on May 31 heavily favors levels below $344,000, reflecting the latest Zillow Home Value Index reading near $324,000 as of late April. Persistent low inventory—down nearly 29% year-over-year in city data—has supported modest price gains of 3–5% annually amid elevated mortgage rates near 6%, limiting faster appreciation. Seasonal demand in spring has produced stable trading volume without sharp acceleration, while broader Midwest economic indicators show contained inflation and steady labor conditions that have kept rate-cut expectations in check. With resolution just weeks away and no major data releases imminent before month-end, the market-implied odds embed the consensus that recent trends will keep values well below the next bracket.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
Volumen
$469
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)Trader sentiment for Chicago's median home value on May 31 heavily favors levels below $344,000, reflecting the latest Zillow Home Value Index reading near $324,000 as of late April. Persistent low inventory—down nearly 29% year-over-year in city data—has supported modest price gains of 3–5% annually amid elevated mortgage rates near 6%, limiting faster appreciation. Seasonal demand in spring has produced stable trading volume without sharp acceleration, while broader Midwest economic indicators show contained inflation and steady labor conditions that have kept rate-cut expectations in check. With resolution just weeks away and no major data releases imminent before month-end, the market-implied odds embed the consensus that recent trends will keep values well below the next bracket.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
Volumen
$469
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<344k" mit 80%, gefolgt von „345 - 347k" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 80¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?" ist „<344k" mit 80%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 80% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „345 - 347k" mit 11%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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