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icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?
Economy·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?

559 - 566k 45%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
NEU

559 - 566k 45%

553 - 559k 31%

566 - 572k 24%

572 - 579k 10%

Polymarket
NEU

<553k

$0 Vol.

7%

553 - 559k

$96 Vol.

26%

559 - 566k

$95 Vol.

45%

566 - 572k

$1,002 Vol.

22%

572 - 579k

$0 Vol.

10%

579 - 585k

$0 Vol.

7%

585 - 598k

$6 Vol.

7%

>598k

$0 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent Zillow Home Value Index data for the Washington, D.C., metro area place typical home values at approximately $580,000 as of late April 2026, down about 3% year-over-year amid rising active listings and federal employment uncertainty. This positioning supports the market’s leading 559-566k bucket at 43.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k ranges capturing the balance of trader sentiment. Elevated inventory, softer contract activity in some segments, and 2026 forecasts projecting 0.7–1% price softening have anchored probabilities around these levels rather than higher brackets. With resolution only two weeks away, any final May housing reports or mortgage-rate movements could still shift the precise outcome within the narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volumen
$1,199
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36) Recent Zillow Home Value Index data for the Washington, D.C., metro area place typical home values at approximately $580,000 as of late April 2026, down about 3% year-over-year amid rising active listings and federal employment uncertainty. This positioning supports the market’s leading 559-566k bucket at 43.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 553-559k and 566-572k ranges capturing the balance of trader sentiment. Elevated inventory, softer contract activity in some segments, and 2026 forecasts projecting 0.7–1% price softening have anchored probabilities around these levels rather than higher brackets. With resolution only two weeks away, any final May housing reports or mortgage-rate movements could still shift the precise outcome within the narrow band.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Volumen
$1,199
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „559 - 566k" mit 45%, gefolgt von „553 - 559k" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on May 31?" ist „559 - 566k" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „553 - 559k" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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