Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus around an imminent departure in the May 15–22 window. With no Senate-confirmed successor nominated and no public extension announced, markets treat the statutory end date as the primary catalyst. Recent White House statements and Treasury briefings have offered no signals of Powell continuing in an acting role, while scheduled FOMC meetings in the coming weeks keep the timeline tight. Historical precedent for term-limited chairs shows departures cluster immediately after expiration absent explicit reappointment, reinforcing the current pricing ahead of any potential confirmation hearings or policy statements that could alter the sequence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 56.8%
May 23–29 34.4%
May 30–June 5 5.0%
June 6–12 2.5%
$168,186 Vol.
$168,186 Vol.
May 15–22
57%
May 23–29
34%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 56.8%
May 23–29 34.4%
May 30–June 5 5.0%
June 6–12 2.5%
$168,186 Vol.
$168,186 Vol.
May 15–22
57%
May 23–29
34%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair expires on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus around an imminent departure in the May 15–22 window. With no Senate-confirmed successor nominated and no public extension announced, markets treat the statutory end date as the primary catalyst. Recent White House statements and Treasury briefings have offered no signals of Powell continuing in an acting role, while scheduled FOMC meetings in the coming weeks keep the timeline tight. Historical precedent for term-limited chairs shows departures cluster immediately after expiration absent explicit reappointment, reinforcing the current pricing ahead of any potential confirmation hearings or policy statements that could alter the sequence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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